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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: H Sletner
Brann
S U S S S
3–0
Full-time
Fredrikstad
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
3,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Brann 2. · Fredrikstad 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mjondalen 7 6 1 0 +7 19
2 Brann 6 4 2 0 +12 14
3 Start 6 4 1 1 +11 13
4 Fredrikstad 6 3 2 1 +5 11
5 Stabaek 6 3 2 1 +5 11
6 Sogndal 6 3 2 1 +0 11
7 Ranheim 6 3 1 2 -2 10
8 Sandnes ULF 5 3 0 2 -4 9
9 KFUM Oslo 6 2 2 2 -2 8
10 Kongsvinger 5 2 1 2 +2 7
11 Raufoss 6 1 3 2 -3 6
12 Grorud 6 0 4 2 -4 4
13 Bryne 7 1 0 6 -6 3
14 Asane 6 0 3 3 -9 3
15 Stjørdals-Blink 6 0 2 4 -5 2
16 Skeid 6 0 0 6 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Fredrikstad
1–0 S. Nilsen
42′
Half-time 1–0
R. Kristiansen 🟨
51′
65′
🔁 R. Alba
↦ L. Begby
65′
🔁 O. Jansson
↦ T. Johansen
2–0 M. Rasmussen
67′
73′
🔁 O. Øby
↦ J. Lindström
73′
🔁 H. Åsheim
↦ T. Drage
3–0 N. Castro
77′
81′
🔁 L. Reuterswärd
↦ N. Williams
O. Blomberg 🔁
↦ N. Castro
87′
F. Myhre 🔁
↦ D. Wolfe
87′
B. Finne 🔁
↦ N. Jensen
87′
K. Skaanes 🔁
↦ M. Rasmussen
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Brann

1 M. Dyngeland
21 R. Kristiansen
13 S. Crone
5 A. Skovgaard
18 D. Wolfe
19 S. Nilsen
7 M. Rasmussen
10 F. Børsting
25 N. Jensen
9 N. Castro
20 A. Heggebø
Bench (8)
2 O. Blomberg
8 F. Myhre
11 B. Finne
15 K. Skaanes
6 V. Moberg
12 E. Johansen
27 R. Hove
31 I. Hjorteseth

Coach: E. Horneland

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
26 M. Nielsen
18 L. Begby
23 A. Aleesami
17 T. Johansen
7 T. Drage
14 J. Lindström
5 A. Hadžić
10 N. Solberg
24 N. Williams
Bench (7)
11 R. Alba
21 O. Jansson
19 O. Øby
20 H. Åsheim
12 L. Reuterswärd
2 A. Hansen
25 O. Langbråten

Coach: B. Johansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.