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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
Mechelen
U T S S S
2–3
Full-time
Standard
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 49%
50%
48%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
71%
64%
Both score Ø 66%
63%
68%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

9 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 10
10 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 7. · Standard 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 23 18 4 1 +42 58
2 Charleroi 24 14 7 3 +25 49
3 Antwerp 24 13 6 5 +19 45
4 Standard 25 12 6 7 +18 42
5 Gent 23 12 6 5 +18 42
6 Genk 25 12 5 8 +10 41
7 Mechelen 24 12 5 7 +3 41
8 Waregem 23 10 5 8 +4 35
9 Anderlecht 23 6 11 6 +2 29
10 Mouscron 21 6 9 6 +1 27
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 6 9 6 +1 27
12 St Truiden 24 6 6 12 -18 24
13 Kortrijk 24 6 4 14 -11 22
14 Eupen 23 5 5 13 -19 20
15 Oostende 23 5 4 14 -21 19
16 Waasland-Beveren 21 4 5 12 -24 17
17 Beveren 21 4 5 12 -24 17
18 Cercle Brugge 24 4 4 16 -26 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Standard
21′
🟨 Mehdi Carcela-González
38′
🟨 Obbi Oulare
43′
🟨 Mergim Vojvoda
Half-time 0–1
47′
S. Amallah 0–1
M. Vojvoda
1–1 I. de Camargo
J. Van Cleemput
50′
S. Bateau 🔁
↦ A. Vranckx
67′
69′
M. Carcela 1–2
S. Bastien
2–2 I. de Camargo
T. Peyre
73′
75′
🟨 Gojko Cimirot
77′
🔁 F. Avenatti
↦ O. Oularé
G. Hairemans 🔁
↦ G. Engvall
84′
C. Tainmont 🔁
↦ N. Storm
87′
87′
🔁 A. Boljević
↦ M. Lestienne
88′
F. Avenatti 2–3
93′
🔁 D. Lavalée
↦ M. Carcela
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-1-4-1
15 Y. Thoelen G
5 A. Swinkels D
22 A. Corryn D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
2 J. Van Cleemput D
8 O. Kaya M
40 A. Vranckx M
10 I. de Camargo F
11 N. Storm F
20 G. Engvall F
Bench (7)
4 S. Bateau
7 G. Hairemans
21 C. Tainmont
9 W. Togui
29 I. Kabore
31 D. Vanzeir
1 B. Castro

Coach: W. Vrancken

Standard

4-2-3-1
16 A. Bodart G
34 K. Laifis D
24 N. Gavory D
27 M. Vojvoda D
3 Z. Vanheusden D
10 M. Carcela
22 M. Lestienne M
8 G. Cimirot M
28 S. Bastien M
19 S. Amallah M
17 O. Oularé F
Bench (7)
25 F. Avenatti
18 A. Boljević
4 D. Lavalée
23 S. Miangue
26 N. Raskin
21 C. Fai
1 J. Gillet

Coach: M. Preud'homme

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,85
U
3,33
B ✓
2,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,01
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.