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Primeira Liga

Referee: António Nobre

Boavista

U T S S T

3–0

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%

8 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 8

16 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boavista 17. · Pacos Ferreira 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Gil Vicente	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Tondela	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Vizela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Famalicao	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Arouca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.