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2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg
S T S T S
1–2
Full-time
Paderborn
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
44%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
61%
61%
Both score Ø 64%
56%
72%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

14 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 6
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 5. · Paderborn 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 18 11 3 4 +14 36
2 Darmstadt 18 11 2 5 +21 35
3 Hamburg 19 7 10 2 +13 31
4 Schalke 04 18 9 3 6 +11 30
5 Nurnberg 18 8 6 4 +6 30
6 Heidenheim 18 9 3 6 -1 30
7 Werder Bremen 18 8 5 5 +7 29
8 Regensburg 18 8 4 6 +7 28
9 Paderborn 18 7 6 5 +10 27
10 Karlsruhe 18 6 7 5 +3 25
11 Dresden 19 7 2 10 -5 23
12 Hannover 19 6 5 8 -12 23
13 Holstein Kiel 18 5 6 7 -7 21
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 18 5 5 8 -2 20
15 Hansa Rostock 19 5 5 9 -11 20
16 Sandhausen 18 4 5 9 -16 17
17 Erzgebirge Aue 18 3 5 10 -15 14
18 Ingolstadt 18 2 4 12 -23 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U
3,44
B ✓
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.