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Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Union Berlin

S T U S U

2–1

Full-time

Hoffenheim

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,5

Scored

1,0

2,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 45%

39%

50%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

61%

56%

Average goals

2,7

3,6

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

6 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 8

5 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 7. · Hoffenheim 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	18	14	1	3	+39	43
2	Dortmund	19	13	1	5	+20	40
3	Hoffenheim	18	9	4	5	+11	31
4	Freiburg	19	8	6	5	+8	30
5	Leverkusen	18	8	5	5	+12	29
6	FC Koln	18	7	7	4	+2	28
7	Union Berlin	18	7	7	4	+2	28
8	Ein Frankfurt	18	7	6	5	+2	27
9	RB Leipzig	18	7	4	7	+11	25
10	Mainz	18	7	3	8	+5	24
11	Bochum	18	7	2	9	-9	23
12	M'gladbach	18	6	4	8	-9	22
13	Hertha	18	6	3	9	-17	21
14	Wolfsburg	18	6	2	10	-13	20
15	Stuttgart	18	4	6	8	-9	18
16	Augsburg	18	4	6	8	-11	18
17	Bielefeld	18	3	8	7	-8	17
18	Greuther Furth	18	1	3	14	-36	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	10	9	0	1	+18	27
2	Bayern Munich	10	8	0	2	+22	24
3	RB Leipzig	10	7	0	3	+16	21
4	Hoffenheim	9	6	2	1	+12	20
5	Mainz	9	5	3	1	+13	18
6	FC Koln	9	5	3	1	+7	18
7	Union Berlin	9	5	3	1	+4	18
8	Bochum	9	5	2	2	+5	17
9	Freiburg	9	4	3	2	+4	15
10	Leverkusen	9	4	2	3	+5	14
11	M'gladbach	8	4	2	2	+1	14
12	Hertha	9	4	2	3	+1	14
13	Ein Frankfurt	9	3	4	2	+3	13
14	Stuttgart	9	3	2	4	-2	11
15	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	-3	11
16	Wolfsburg	9	3	1	5	-6	10
17	Bielefeld	9	1	5	3	-5	8
18	Greuther Furth	9	1	3	5	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	1	1	+17	19
2	Leverkusen	9	4	3	2	+7	15
3	Freiburg	10	4	3	3	+4	15
4	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	2	3	-1	14
5	Dortmund	9	4	1	4	+2	13
6	Hoffenheim	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	Union Berlin	9	2	4	3	-2	10
8	FC Koln	9	2	4	3	-5	10
9	Wolfsburg	9	3	1	5	-7	10
10	Bielefeld	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	M'gladbach	10	2	2	6	-10	8
12	Stuttgart	9	1	4	4	-7	7
13	Augsburg	10	1	4	5	-8	7
14	Hertha	9	2	1	6	-18	7
15	Mainz	9	2	0	7	-8	6
16	Bochum	9	2	0	7	-14	6
17	RB Leipzig	8	0	4	4	-5	4
18	Greuther Furth	9	0	0	9	-28	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.