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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Stuttgart
U S T T U
0–2
Full-time
RB Leipzig
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
22%
39%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 61%
61%
61%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,9
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 15. · RB Leipzig 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 18 14 1 3 +39 43
2 Dortmund 19 13 1 5 +20 40
3 Hoffenheim 18 9 4 5 +11 31
4 Freiburg 19 8 6 5 +8 30
5 Leverkusen 18 8 5 5 +12 29
6 FC Koln 18 7 7 4 +2 28
7 Union Berlin 18 7 7 4 +2 28
8 Ein Frankfurt 18 7 6 5 +2 27
9 RB Leipzig 18 7 4 7 +11 25
10 Mainz 18 7 3 8 +5 24
11 Bochum 18 7 2 9 -9 23
12 M'gladbach 18 6 4 8 -9 22
13 Hertha 18 6 3 9 -17 21
14 Wolfsburg 18 6 2 10 -13 20
15 Stuttgart 18 4 6 8 -9 18
16 Augsburg 18 4 6 8 -11 18
17 Bielefeld 18 3 8 7 -8 17
18 Greuther Furth 18 1 3 14 -36 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart RB Leipzig
Tanguy Coulibaly 🟨
8′
11′
André Silva 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Alexis Tibidi 🟨
53′
55′
🟨 Yussuf Poulsen
65′
🔁 B. Henrichs
↦ Y. Poulsen
70′
C. Nkunku 0–2
B. Henrichs
R. Massimo 🔁
↦ T. Coulibaly
75′
M. Klimowicz 🔁
↦ A. Tibidi
76′
77′
🔁 Hugo Novoa
↦ C. Nkunku
L. Egloff 🔁
↦ C. Führich
81′
N. Ahamada 🔁
↦ K. Mavropanos
82′
88′
🔁 Dani Olmo
↦ K. Kampl
Saša Kalajdžić 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 F. Müller G
2 W. Anton D
5 K. Mavropanos D
37 H. Ito D
3 W. Endo M
23 O. Mangala M
22 C. Führich M
28 N. Nartey M
7 T. Coulibaly F
9 S. Kalajdzic F
50 A. Tibidi F
Bench (9)
30 R. Massimo
31 M. Klimowicz
25 L. Egloff
32 N. Ahamada
20 P. Förster
33 F. Bredlow
15 P. Stenzel
16 A. Karazor
34 Ö. Beyaz

Coach: P. Matarazzo

RB Leipzig

3-4-2-1
1 P. Gulácsi G
4 W. Orban D
16 L. Klostermann M
3 Angeliño M
2 M. Simakan D
32 J. Gvardiol D
44 K. Kampl M
18 C. Nkunku F
14 T. Adams M
9 Y. Poulsen F
33 André Silva F
Bench (9)
39 B. Henrichs
38 Hugo Novoa
25 Dani Olmo
17 D. Szoboszlai
31 Josep Martínez
37 S. Raebiger
13 P. Tschauner
35 S. Bonnah
47 J. Wosz

Coach: D. Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,40
U
4,36
B ✓
1,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.