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Primeira Liga
Referee: Vitor Ferreira
Moreirense
T U S T S
1–2
Full-time
Benfica
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Feb -21 Moreirense – Benfica 1–1 26. Sep -20 Benfica – Moreirense 2–0 2. Mar -20 Benfica – Moreirense 1–1 21. Sep -19 Moreirense – Benfica 1–2 17. Mar -19 Moreirense – Benfica 0–4

Match report

Moreirense Benfica
8′
⚽ Lucas Verissimo 0–1
Artur Jorge 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
14′
19′
⚽ L. Waldschmidt 0–2
1–2 Rafael Martins ⚽
Yan
30′
33′
🟨 Adel Taarabt
Filipe Soares 🟨
36′
Rúben Ramos 🔁
↦ Walterson
38′
Half-time 1–2
55′
ℹ️ Diogo Gonçalves
VAR: Card upgrade
56′
🟥 Diogo Gonçalves
58′
🔁 J. Weigl
↦ A. Taarabt
58′
🔁 Gilberto
↦ L. Waldschmidt
Gonçalo Franco 🔁
↦ Abdu Conté
59′
60′
🟨 Julian Weigl
Felipe Pires 🟨
69′
70′
🔁 Rafa Silva
↦ Éverton
Artur Jorge 🟨
75′
André Luís 🔁
↦ Artur Jorge
78′
G. Frimpong 🔁
↦ Yan
78′
Galego 🔁
↦ Filipe Soares
78′
81′
🟨 Soualiho Meïté
83′
🔁 Gedson Fernandes
↦ S. Meïté
83′
🔁 Álex Grimaldo
↦ Gil Dias
Fábio Pacheco 🟨
93′
98′
🟨 Rafa Silva
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Moreirense

4-4-2
14 Mateus Pasinato G
30 A. Ba D
3 L. Rosić D
4 Artur Jorge D
5 Abdu Conté D
6 Fábio Pacheco M
21 Filipe Soares M
99 Rafael Martins F
7 Walterson M
10 Felipe Pires M
11 Yan F
Bench (9)
66 Rúben Ramos
88 Gonçalo Franco
9 André Luís
23 G. Frimpong
37 Galego
8 I. Camará
16 Sori Mané
1 Kewin
19 S. Vitória

Coach: João Henriques

Benfica

3-4-2-1
99 O. Vlachodimos G
5 J. Vertonghen D
30 N. Otamendi D
4 Lucas Verissimo D
49 A. Taarabt M
11 S. Meïté M
17 Diogo Gonçalves M
31 Gil Dias M
10 L. Waldschmidt F
7 Éverton F
88 Gonçalo Ramos F
Bench (9)
28 J. Weigl
2 Gilberto
27 Rafa Silva
83 Gedson Fernandes
3 Álex Grimaldo
15 R. Yaremchuk
21 Pizzi
91 Morato
1 M. Svilar

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,87
🔒
U
4,56
🔒
B ✓
1,43
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,65
🔒
U2,5
2,23
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Vitor Ferreira · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.