Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rio Ave
Portimonense
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sp Lisbon
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +22 | 35 |
| 2 |
Porto
|
12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 28 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |
Sp Braga
|
13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 19 |
| 6 |
Guimaraes
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 |
Maritimo
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 8 |
Santa Clara
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 |
Gil Vicente
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 |
Nacional
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 |
Moreirense
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 |
Belenenses
|
12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Tondela
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 |
Portimonense
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |
Famalicao
|
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 |
Boavista
|
12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 |
Farense
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Ivo Pinto
D
Pedro Amaral
D
T. Borevković
D
Coach: Mário Silva
Samuel
G
Beto
F
Coach: Paulo Sérgio
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Pacos Ferreira
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Maritimo
Sp Braga
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Boavista
Gil Vicente
Rio Ave
Luis Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.