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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Godinho
Rio Ave
T U T T T
3–0
Full-time
Portimonense
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Portimonense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
0,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
25%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
25%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
25%
42%
Average goals
1,8
1,9
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
16 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 22
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rio Ave 16. · Portimonense 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 13 11 2 0 +22 35
2 Porto 12 9 1 2 +16 28
3 Benfica 12 9 1 2 +13 28
4 Sp Braga 13 9 0 4 +10 27
5 Pacos Ferreira 12 5 4 3 +3 19
6 Guimaraes 11 6 1 4 +3 19
7 Maritimo 13 4 2 7 -3 14
8 Santa Clara 12 4 2 6 -4 14
9 Gil Vicente 12 3 4 5 -3 13
10 Nacional 12 3 4 5 -4 13
11 Moreirense 12 3 4 5 -5 13
12 Belenenses 12 2 6 4 -3 12
13 Tondela 12 3 3 6 -10 12
14 Portimonense 12 3 2 7 -5 11
15 Famalicao 12 2 5 5 -7 11
16 Rio Ave 12 2 5 5 -9 11
17 Boavista 12 1 7 4 -8 10
18 Farense 12 2 3 7 -6 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rio Ave Portimonense
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Fahd Moufi
1–0 Pelé
51′
2–0 R. Meshino
54′
63′
🔁 Fabricio
↦ Luquinhas
63′
🔁 Henrique
↦ F. Moufi
63′
🔁 Fernando Medeiros
↦ Aylton Boa Morte
Diogo Teixeira 🔁
↦ Pelé
66′
71′
🔁 Bruno Moreira
↦ Ewerton
3–0 Carlos Mané
Gelson Dala
78′
Nélson Monte 🔁
↦ Francisco Geraldes
80′
Gabrielzinho 🔁
↦ R. Meshino
80′
84′
🟨 Maurício Antônio
Fábio Coentrão 🔁
↦ Carlos Mané
85′
André Pereira 🔁
↦ Gelson Dala
85′
86′
🟨 Fernando Medeiros
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
1 P. Kieszek G
25 Ivo Pinto D
33 Aderllan Santos D
24 Pedro Amaral D
6 T. Borevković D
8 Tarantini M
18 Pelé M
11 Francisco Geraldes M
40 R. Meshino M
21 Carlos Mané M
7 Gelson Dala F
Bench (9)
80 Diogo Teixeira
4 Nélson Monte
70 Gabrielzinho
17 Fábio Coentrão
77 André Pereira
89 S. Said
20 Costinha
28 N. Pijnaker
74 Magrão

Coach: Mário Silva

Portimonense

4-3-3
94 Samuel G
2 Maurício Antônio
3 Lucas Possignolo D
18 F. Moufi D
22 K. Anzai D
28 Willyan M
10 Ewerton M
20 Luquinhas M
77 Aylton Boa Morte F
11 Anderson Oliveira F
14 Beto F
Bench (9)
9 Fabricio
19 Henrique
96 Fernando Medeiros
23 Bruno Moreira
29 J. Salmani
33 Casagrande
27 Lucas Tagliapietra
36 Fali Candé
1 Ricardo Ferreira

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
U
3,01
B
3,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,54
U2,5
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.