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Primeira Liga
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Portimonense
T U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Rio Ave
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Rio Ave
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
43%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
36%
21%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
36%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Portimonense 17. · Rio Ave 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 14 13 0 1 +29 39
2 Porto 14 11 2 1 +23 35
3 Famalicao 13 7 3 3 +5 24
4 Sp Lisbon 13 7 2 4 +5 23
5 Guimaraes 14 5 6 3 +7 21
6 Rio Ave 14 6 3 5 +2 21
7 Tondela 14 5 4 5 +0 19
8 Sp Braga 14 5 3 6 -1 18
9 Boavista 14 4 6 4 -1 18
10 Gil Vicente 14 4 5 5 -2 17
11 Setubal 13 3 7 3 -3 16
12 Vitoria Setubal 13 3 7 3 -3 16
13 Moreirense 14 3 6 5 -2 15
14 Santa Clara 14 3 6 5 -4 15
15 Belenenses 13 4 3 6 -9 15
16 Maritimo 14 2 7 5 -9 13
17 Portimonense 14 2 6 6 -9 12
18 Pacos Ferreira 14 2 2 10 -14 8
19 Aves 13 2 0 11 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Portimonense Rio Ave
Henrique 🟨
17′
21′
Diego Lopes 0–1
Nuno Santos
Lucas Possignolo 🟨
32′
32′
🟨 Filipe Augusto
39′
🟨 Diego Lopes
Half-time 0–1
Bruno Tabata 🔁
↦ Pedro Sá
46′
Lucas Fernandes 🟨
50′
64′
🔁 Vitó
↦ Tarantini
Henrique 🟨
66′
Henrique 🟥
66′
M. Moreno 🔁
↦ K. Anzai
75′
76′
🟨 Aderllan Santos
1–1 Jadson
79′
84′
🔁 Ronan
↦ Bruno Moreira
85′
🔁 Gabrielzinho
↦ Carlos Mané
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Portimonense

3-4-3
1 Ricardo Ferreira G
19 Henrique M
3 Lucas Possignolo D
22 K. Anzai M
4 Jadson D
7 Dener F
21 Pedro Sá M
96 Fernando Medeiros D
29 Lucas Fernandes M
9 J. Martínez F
77 Aylton Boa Morte F
Bench (7)
10 Bruno Tabata
11 M. Moreno
92 Rodrigo
5 Rômulo
14 Beto
28 Willyan
16 S. Gonda

Coach: António Folha

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
1 P. Kieszek G
15 Aderllan Santos D
7 Diogo Figueiras D
24 Pedro Amaral D
6 T. Borevković D
8 Tarantini M
5 Filipe Augusto M
10 Diego Lopes M
9 Bruno Moreira F
21 Carlos Mané M
11 Nuno Santos M
Bench (7)
17 Vitó
19 Ronan
70 Gabrielzinho
4 Nélson Monte
33 Messias
30 Joca
88 Paulo Vítor

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,79
U ✓
3,32
B
2,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.