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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hélder Malheiro

Moreirense

U U S T T

0–1

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

29%

43%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

29%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

2,0

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

10 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 26

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 12. · Pacos Ferreira 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Benfica	8	6	0	2	+9	18
3	Sp Braga	8	6	0	2	+6	18
4	Porto	8	5	1	2	+9	16
5	Guimaraes	8	4	1	3	-1	13
6	Pacos Ferreira	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Nacional	8	2	4	2	+0	10
8	Santa Clara	8	3	1	4	-1	10
9	Rio Ave	8	2	4	2	-2	10
10	Famalicao	8	2	3	3	-5	9
11	Gil Vicente	8	2	2	4	-2	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Belenenses	8	1	5	2	-2	8
14	Tondela	8	2	2	4	-8	8
15	Maritimo	8	2	1	5	-4	7
16	Boavista	8	1	4	3	-5	7
17	Portimonense	8	2	1	5	-5	7
18	Farense	8	1	2	5	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Porto	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Benfica	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Pacos Ferreira	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Moreirense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Gil Vicente	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Tondela	5	2	1	2	-3	7
9	Nacional	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Famalicao	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	Farense	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Santa Clara	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Maritimo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Portimonense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Boavista	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	Belenenses	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Guimaraes	4	1	0	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Guimaraes	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Benfica	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Porto	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Santa Clara	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Rio Ave	5	1	3	1	-1	6
8	Belenenses	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Nacional	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Famalicao	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Boavista	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	Maritimo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Portimonense	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Farense	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Gil Vicente	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Moreirense	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.