Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Pacos Ferreira
Famalicao
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sp Lisbon
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |
Sp Braga
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 4 |
Porto
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 13 |
| 5 |
Nacional
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 10 |
| 7 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +0 | 10 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Moreirense
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |
Tondela
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Belenenses
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Boavista
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 |
Farense
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 |
Gil Vicente
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Portimonense
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
O. Reabciuk
D
S. Eustáquio
M
Coach: Pepa
Luiz Júnior
G
Gil Dias
D
Iván Jaime
F
Coach: João Pedro Sousa
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Pacos Ferreira
Porto
Nacional
Pacos Ferreira
Pacos Ferreira
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Pacos Ferreira
Pacos Ferreira
Sp Lisbon
João Carlos Bento · 10 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.