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Primeira Liga

Referee: Carlos Xistra

Benfica

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Aves

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Aves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

2,8

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 54%

94%

13%

Points per game

2,8

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 38%

19%

56%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

2,4

0,9

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,1

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%

28 Shots 6

11 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

17 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 1. · Aves 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	16	15	0	1	+34	45
2	Porto	16	13	2	1	+27	41
3	Famalicao	16	9	3	4	+7	30
4	Sp Lisbon	15	8	2	5	+8	26
5	Guimaraes	16	5	7	4	+6	22
6	Rio Ave	16	6	4	6	+1	22
7	Sp Braga	16	6	3	7	+4	21
8	Tondela	16	5	5	6	-3	20
9	Gil Vicente	16	4	7	5	-2	19
10	Boavista	16	4	7	5	-2	19
11	Setubal	15	4	7	4	-5	19
12	Vitoria Setubal	15	4	7	4	-5	19
13	Maritimo	16	4	7	5	-7	19
14	Moreirense	16	4	6	6	-2	18
15	Santa Clara	16	4	6	6	-7	18
16	Belenenses	15	4	3	8	-16	15
17	Portimonense	16	2	8	6	-9	14
18	Pacos Ferreira	16	4	2	10	-12	14
19	Aves	16	2	0	14	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	8	8	0	0	+22	24
2	Benfica	9	8	0	1	+21	24
3	Famalicao	8	6	1	1	+11	19
4	Gil Vicente	9	3	6	0	+5	15
5	Guimaraes	8	4	2	2	+9	14
6	Moreirense	7	4	2	1	+5	14
7	Rio Ave	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Setubal	8	3	5	0	+3	14
9	Vitoria Setubal	8	3	5	0	+3	14
10	Sp Lisbon	7	4	0	3	+3	12
11	Sp Braga	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Maritimo	8	2	4	2	-1	10
13	Boavista	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Pacos Ferreira	9	3	1	5	-2	10
15	Santa Clara	9	2	3	4	-5	9
16	Belenenses	7	2	1	4	-9	7
17	Aves	7	2	0	5	-2	6
18	Portimonense	7	1	3	3	-3	6
19	Tondela	7	1	2	4	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Porto	8	5	2	1	+5	17
3	Tondela	9	4	3	2	+1	15
4	Sp Lisbon	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Famalicao	8	3	2	3	-4	11
6	Sp Braga	9	3	1	5	+3	10
7	Boavista	8	2	3	3	-1	9
8	Santa Clara	7	2	3	2	-2	9
9	Maritimo	8	2	3	3	-6	9
10	Rio Ave	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Guimaraes	8	1	5	2	-3	8
12	Portimonense	9	1	5	3	-6	8
13	Belenenses	8	2	2	4	-7	8
14	Setubal	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Vitoria Setubal	7	1	2	4	-8	5
16	Moreirense	9	0	4	5	-7	4
17	Gil Vicente	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	Pacos Ferreira	7	1	1	5	-10	4
19	Aves	9	0	0	9	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.