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Eredivisie
Referee: Joey Kooij
Groningen
T T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Utrecht
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,55 xG 2,27
59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 0
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Groningen Utrecht
1–0 B. Willumsson
8′
E. van der Laan 🔁
↦ M. Rente
30′
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
35′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 T. van Bergen
48′
62′
🔁 Z. Iqbal
↦ D. Min
62′
🔁 A. Blake
↦ Y. Cathline
62′
🔁 D. van den Berg
↦ F. Pohl
70′
🔁 G. Offerhaus
↦ S. Horemans
T. Mercera 🔁
↦ W. Prins
71′
80′
A. Blake 2–1
D. van den Berg
T. Hernes 🔁
↦ B. Willumsson
81′
R. Metu 🔁
↦ P. Clement
81′
84′
🟨 Dani De Wit
84′
🔁 K. Paredes
↦ A. Alarcon
88′
🟨 Joris van Overeem
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 E. Vaessen G
14 J. Schreuders D
3 T. Blokzijl D
5 M. Rente D
2 W. Prins D
8 T. de Jonge M
18 T. Land M
17 D. van der Werff M
26 T. van Bergen M
24 P. Clement M
9 B. Willumsson F
Bench (12)
31 R. Janse
13 L. Stubljar
12 N. Brandis
29 T. Mercera
44 J. Dillema
20 N. Eggens
42 J. Mosselaar
16 A. Nordin
7 T. Hernes
15 E. van der Laan
53 J. Hall
34 R. Metu

Coach: Dick Lukkien

Utrecht

4-3-3
25 M. Brouwer G
23 N. Vesterlund D
2 S. Horemans D
44 M. Eerdhuijzen D
92 A. Zagre D
20 D. de Wit M
8 J. van Overeem M
53 F. Pohl M
11 A. Alarcon F
9 D. Min F
10 Y. Cathline F
Bench (8)
33 K. Gadellaa
14 Z. Iqbal
15 A. Blake
47 E. C. Owen
34 D. van den Berg
30 K. Paredes
6 G. Offerhaus
32 P. Kloosterboer

Coach: Anthony Correia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,28
U
3,45
B
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Joey Kooij · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.