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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Groningen
S T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Utrecht
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 27/25 matches
Win Ø 24%
15%
32%
Points per game
0,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
56%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
6 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 17. · Utrecht 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 27 19 7 1 +36 64
2 Ajax 27 16 8 3 +44 56
3 PSV Eindhoven 27 17 5 5 +38 56
4 AZ Alkmaar 27 16 6 5 +22 54
5 Twente 24 13 7 4 +23 46
6 Sparta Rotterdam 24 13 6 5 +17 45
7 Waalwijk 26 9 8 9 +1 35
8 Nijmegen 27 7 13 7 +7 34
9 Utrecht 25 8 9 8 -4 33
10 For Sittard 27 9 5 13 -12 32
11 Heerenveen 25 8 7 10 -6 31
12 Go Ahead Eagles 26 7 9 10 -8 30
13 Volendam 27 7 6 14 -25 27
14 Vitesse 27 5 9 13 -17 24
15 FC Emmen 27 5 9 13 -21 24
16 Excelsior 27 7 3 17 -36 24
17 Groningen 27 4 5 18 -29 17
18 Cambuur 27 4 4 19 -30 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Utrecht
18′
🔁 B. Ramselaar
↦ O. Boussaid
29′
🔁 M. van der Maarel
↦ R. Hendriks
L. Duarte 🔁
↦ J. Willems
38′
41′
🔁 V. Jensen
↦ T. Booth
Half-time 0–0
F. Krüger 🔁
↦ T. Suslov
46′
D. Dankerlui 🔁
↦ L. van Gelderen
46′
52′
T. Douvikas 0–1
S. Klaiber
1–1 O. Antman 0
D. Irandust
55′
E. Manu 🔁
↦ D. Irandust
65′
68′
🔁 H. ter Avest
↦ S. Klaiber
68′
🔁 B. Dost
↦ T. Douvikas
69′
🟨 Sander van de Streek
Johan Hove 🟨
75′
76′
B. Dost 1–2
M. van der Hoorn
Florian Krüger 🟨
80′
Matěj Chaluš 🟨
80′
L. Valente 🔁
↦ M. Chaluš
81′
Isak Dybvik Määttä 🟨
82′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
20 M. Verrips G
19 L. van Gelderen D
37 M. Chaluš D
12 R. Balker D
15 J. Willems D
8 J. Hove M
7 T. Suslov M
21 O. Antman M
10 D. Irandust M
18 I. Määttä M
9 R. Pepi F
Bench (12)
6 L. Duarte
23 F. Krüger
2 D. Dankerlui
28 E. Manu
40 L. Valente
4 J. Pelupessy
25 J. de Boer
24 N. Musampa
1 P. Leeuwenburgh
39 J. Schreuders
34 R. Oratmangoen
31 A. Sher

Coach: D. van der Ree

Utrecht

4-3-3
1 V. Barkas G
17 S. Klaiber D
33 M. van der Hoorn D
24 N. Viergever D
14 R. Hendriks D
18 J. Toornstra M
8 L. Brouwers M
22 S. van de Streek M
10 T. Booth F
9 T. Douvikas F
26 O. Boussaid F
Bench (11)
23 B. Ramselaar
2 M. van der Maarel
7 V. Jensen
5 H. ter Avest
28 B. Dost
19 A. Descotte
25 R. Kluivert
61 K. Gadellaa
27 M. Sagnan
38 R. Shein
31 T. Nijhuis

Coach: M. Silberbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,04
U
3,47
B ✓
2,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.