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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
Waalwijk
T T S U U
0–0
Full-time
Almere City
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Almere City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 24%
22%
26%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,74 xG 0,34
54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
7 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 15. · Almere City 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 28 24 3 1 +68 +57.6 75
2 Feyenoord 28 20 6 2 +47 +54.6 66
3 Twente 28 17 6 5 +25 +16.6 57
4 AZ Alkmaar 28 15 7 6 +27 +15.8 52
5 Ajax 27 12 8 7 +12 +10.4 44
6 Nijmegen 27 11 9 7 +12 -13.8 42
7 Go Ahead Eagles 26 11 6 9 +6 -4.0 39
8 Utrecht 28 10 9 9 +0 -4.6 39
9 Sparta Rotterdam 28 10 7 11 +2 -6.7 37
10 For Sittard 28 9 8 11 -15 +3.8 35
11 Heerenveen 28 9 6 13 -7 -3.6 33
12 Almere City 27 7 10 10 -17 -12.8 31
13 Heracles 28 8 5 15 -21 -20.9 29
14 Zwolle 28 7 7 14 -19 -14.1 28
15 Waalwijk 27 6 5 16 -19 -11.9 23
16 Excelsior 28 4 10 14 -23 -15.1 22
17 Vitesse 28 4 5 19 -37 -22.0 17
18 Volendam 28 3 7 18 -41 -29.4 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Oct -23 Almere City – Waalwijk 1–0

Match report

Waalwijk Almere City
T. Lutonda 🔁
↦ A. Meijers
19′
Godfried Roemeratoe 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Theo Barbet
52′
🔁 Álvaro Peña
↦ T. Barbet
53′
🔁 J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
↦ K. Hansen
Mats Seuntjens 🟨
60′
68′
🔁 R. van La Parra
↦ J. Jacobs
D. Cleonise 🔁
↦ R. Margaret
72′
Z. Bakkali 🔁
↦ M. Seuntjens
81′
M. Kramer 🔁
↦ D. Min
81′
R. Niemeijer 🔁
↦ C. Lokesa
81′
88′
🔁 A. Nalić
↦ Y. Cathline
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-2-3-1
1 E. Vaessen G
2 J. Lelieveld D
23 J. Gaari D
3 D. Van den Buijs D
28 A. Meijers D
24 G. Roemeratoe M
6 Y. Oukili M
19 R. Margaret M
20 M. Seuntjens M
14 C. Lokesa M
9 D. Min F
Bench (12)
5 T. Lutonda
7 D. Cleonise
11 Z. Bakkali
29 M. Kramer
27 R. Niemeijer
13 M. Spenkelink
22 I. Takidine
35 K. Felida
8 P. Vroegh
21 J. Houwen
10 F. Stevanović
25 J. Bruma

Coach: H. Fraser

Almere City

4-4-2
18 S. Şahin-Radlinger G
3 J. Jacobs D
4 D. van Bruggen D
22 T. Barbet D
2 S. Floranus D
20 H. Akujobi M
15 P. Koopmeiners M
28 S. Resink M
19 Y. Cathline M
17 K. Hansen F
9 T. Robinet F
Bench (12)
6 Álvaro Peña
39 J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
27 R. van La Parra
16 A. Nalić
7 J. van Duiven
25 C. Mamengi
14 Pascu
21 M. Corryn
52 J. van der Wilt
5 L. Mbe Soh
29 A. Etemadi
24 F. Mattoir

Coach: A. Pastoor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,19
U ✓
3,43
B
3,22
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.