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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Twente
T T S S U
4–0
Full-time
Cambuur
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Cambuur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,3
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 24/27 matches
Win Ø 35%
54%
15%
Points per game
1,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
46%
59%
Both score Ø 35%
33%
37%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

57% Possession 43%
30 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 6. · Cambuur 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 27 19 7 1 +36 64
2 PSV Eindhoven 28 18 5 5 +42 59
3 Ajax 27 16 8 3 +44 56
4 AZ Alkmaar 28 16 6 6 +21 54
5 Sparta Rotterdam 25 14 6 5 +18 48
6 Twente 24 13 7 4 +23 46
7 Utrecht 26 9 9 8 -3 36
8 Waalwijk 26 9 8 9 +1 35
9 Nijmegen 27 7 13 7 +7 34
10 Heerenveen 26 9 7 10 -5 34
11 For Sittard 27 9 5 13 -12 32
12 Go Ahead Eagles 27 7 9 11 -10 30
13 Vitesse 28 6 9 13 -15 27
14 Volendam 28 7 6 15 -26 27
15 FC Emmen 27 5 9 13 -21 24
16 Excelsior 28 7 3 18 -40 24
17 Groningen 28 4 5 19 -30 17
18 Cambuur 27 4 4 19 -30 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Cambuur
1–0 R. van Wolfswinkel
V. Černý
12′
17′
🟨 Mitchell Paulissen
2–0 M. Vlap
G. Smal
28′
3–0 S. Steijn
G. Smal
36′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 S. van Wermeskerken
↦ D. Schmidt
46′
🔁 R. Uldriķis
↦ B. Johnsen
46′
🔁 R. Balk
↦ M. Paulissen
46′
🔁 J. Jacobs
↦ M. Breij
Ricky van Wolfswinkel 🟨
64′
D. Rots 🔁
↦ V. Misidjan
68′
M. Bruns 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
69′
M. Kjølø 🔁
↦ R. Pröpper
69′
75′
🟨 Remco Balk
W. Brama 🔁
↦ R. Zerrouki
75′
4–0 J. Brenet
G. Smal
77′
A. Sampsted 🔁
↦ J. Brenet
78′
83′
🔁 M. Mahi
↦ N. Foor
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
20 J. Brenet D
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
3 R. Pröpper D
5 G. Smal D
14 S. Steijn M
8 R. Zerrouki M
18 M. Vlap M
7 V. Černý F
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
10 V. Misidjan F
Bench (9)
11 D. Rots
38 M. Bruns
21 M. Kjølø
6 W. Brama
12 A. Sampsted
16 I. El Maach
22 P. Tytoń
17 A. Salah-Eddine
26 D. Cleonise

Coach: R. Jans

Cambuur

4-3-3
12 R. Ruiter G
5 D. Schmidt D
15 M. Tol D
33 F. Smand D
16 A. Bangura D
21 D. van Kaam M
6 M. Hoedemakers M
19 N. Foor M
14 M. Breij F
9 B. Johnsen F
10 M. Paulissen F
Bench (12)
24 S. van Wermeskerken
28 R. Uldriķis
30 R. Balk
8 J. Jacobs
25 M. Mahi
4 L. Bergsma
1 João Virgínia
17 B. Rienstra
27 S. Sylla
31 B. Minnema
38 V. Pichel
3 C. Mac-Intosch

Coach: S. Ultee

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,27
U
5,73
B
10,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,35
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.