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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Twente

S U S T S

4–0

Full-time

Nijmegen

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 27/31 matches

Win Ø 41%

56%

26%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

48%

39%

Both score Ø 41%

30%

52%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

26 Shots 7

11 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 5. · Nijmegen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	31	23	7	1	+47	76
2	PSV Eindhoven	31	21	5	5	+47	68
3	Ajax	31	18	9	4	+47	63
4	AZ Alkmaar	31	18	7	6	+27	61
5	Twente	27	15	7	5	+29	52
6	Sparta Rotterdam	27	15	6	6	+21	51
7	Utrecht	29	11	9	9	-1	42
8	Waalwijk	31	11	8	12	-3	41
9	Nijmegen	31	8	14	9	+4	38
10	Go Ahead Eagles	31	9	10	12	-8	37
11	Heerenveen	29	10	7	12	-9	37
12	For Sittard	31	10	5	16	-19	35
13	Vitesse	31	7	10	14	-14	31
14	Volendam	31	8	6	17	-28	30
15	FC Emmen	31	6	10	15	-25	28
16	Excelsior	31	8	4	19	-41	28
17	Groningen	31	4	6	21	-32	18
18	Cambuur	31	4	4	23	-42	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	13	1	1	+39	40
2	Feyenoord	15	11	4	0	+25	37
3	Twente	13	11	2	0	+29	35
4	Ajax	16	9	5	2	+31	32
5	Waalwijk	16	9	3	4	+13	30
6	AZ Alkmaar	15	8	5	2	+13	29
7	Sparta Rotterdam	14	9	1	4	+14	28
8	Go Ahead Eagles	16	6	6	4	+2	24
9	Excelsior	16	7	2	7	-7	23
10	Volendam	15	7	1	7	-5	22
11	Utrecht	14	5	5	4	+0	20
12	Nijmegen	16	3	9	4	+3	18
13	FC Emmen	16	3	9	4	-5	18
14	For Sittard	16	5	3	8	-7	18
15	Vitesse	15	3	6	6	-9	15
16	Heerenveen	14	4	2	8	-8	14
17	Groningen	15	3	3	9	-8	12
18	Cambuur	16	2	0	14	-23	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	16	12	3	1	+22	39
2	AZ Alkmaar	16	10	2	4	+14	32
3	Ajax	15	9	4	2	+16	31
4	PSV Eindhoven	16	8	4	4	+8	28
5	Sparta Rotterdam	13	6	5	2	+7	23
6	Heerenveen	15	6	5	4	-1	23
7	Utrecht	15	6	4	5	-1	22
8	Nijmegen	15	5	5	5	+1	20
9	Twente	14	4	5	5	+0	17
10	For Sittard	15	5	2	8	-12	17
11	Vitesse	16	4	4	8	-5	16
12	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	4	8	-10	13
13	Waalwijk	15	2	5	8	-16	11
14	Cambuur	15	2	4	9	-19	10
15	FC Emmen	15	3	1	11	-20	10
16	Volendam	16	1	5	10	-23	8
17	Groningen	16	1	3	12	-24	6
18	Excelsior	15	1	2	12	-34	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.