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Eredivisie

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

Twente

S U S S U

2–0

Full-time

Utrecht

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 52%

64%

40%

Points per game

2,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

43%

60%

Both score Ø 41%

21%

60%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

15 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 5. · Utrecht 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	16	11	4	1	+25	37
2	PSV Eindhoven	17	11	2	4	+23	35
3	AZ Alkmaar	16	10	3	3	+11	33
4	Ajax	16	9	5	2	+27	32
5	Twente	14	9	3	2	+18	30
6	Sparta Rotterdam	15	9	3	3	+15	30
7	Heerenveen	16	6	6	4	+2	24
8	Utrecht	15	6	5	4	+0	23
9	Nijmegen	17	4	10	3	+5	22
10	Go Ahead Eagles	16	4	7	5	-1	19
11	Excelsior	17	6	1	10	-19	19
12	Waalwijk	16	4	6	6	-4	18
13	For Sittard	16	4	4	8	-9	16
14	Vitesse	17	3	6	8	-14	15
15	Groningen	17	3	3	11	-18	12
16	FC Emmen	17	2	6	9	-18	12
17	Volendam	17	3	3	11	-24	12
18	Cambuur	17	2	3	12	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	1	1	+19	22
2	Twente	8	7	1	0	+19	22
3	Sparta Rotterdam	8	6	0	2	+10	18
4	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+14	17
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	+19	15
6	Excelsior	8	5	0	3	+0	15
7	Nijmegen	9	2	6	1	+6	12
8	Waalwijk	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	4	3	-1	10
12	Utrecht	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	FC Emmen	8	1	6	1	-2	9
14	For Sittard	9	2	2	5	-5	8
15	Groningen	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Vitesse	8	1	3	4	-11	6
17	Volendam	8	2	0	6	-12	6
18	Cambuur	9	1	0	8	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	9	7	0	2	+9	21
2	Feyenoord	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Utrecht	8	4	2	2	+1	14
5	PSV Eindhoven	8	4	1	3	+4	13
6	Heerenveen	8	3	4	1	+2	13
7	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Nijmegen	8	2	4	2	-1	10
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	3	2	+0	9
10	Vitesse	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Twente	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	For Sittard	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Cambuur	8	1	3	4	-7	6
14	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-9	6
15	Volendam	9	1	3	5	-12	6
16	Groningen	9	1	2	6	-12	5
17	Excelsior	9	1	1	7	-19	4
18	FC Emmen	9	1	0	8	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.