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La Liga

Referee: Carlos del Cerro

Villarreal

S S S U T

1–0

Full-time

Girona

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Girona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 38%

47%

29%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

35%

65%

Both score Ø 59%

29%

88%

Average goals

1,9

3,1

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,90 xG 0,56

69% Possession 31%

19 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 5

21 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Villarreal 5. · Girona 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	13	2	1	+29	–	41
2	Real Madrid	16	12	2	2	+20	–	38
3	Sociedad	18	12	2	4	+10	+0.8	38
4	Ath Madrid	18	9	4	5	+11	+2.9	31
5	Villarreal	17	8	4	5	+7	–	28
6	Betis	17	8	4	5	+5	-1.4	28
7	Osasuna	17	8	3	6	+1	–	27
8	Ath Bilbao	17	7	5	5	+8	–	26
9	Vallecano	18	7	5	6	+2	-0.8	26
10	Mallorca	18	7	4	7	-1	+0.0	25
11	Girona	17	5	6	6	-1	–	21
12	Espanol	18	4	8	6	-4	+1.4	20
13	Valencia	16	5	4	7	+5	–	19
14	Almeria	17	5	3	9	-8	–	18
15	Sevilla	18	4	6	8	-8	+1.6	18
16	Getafe	17	4	5	8	-8	–	17
17	Celta	18	4	5	9	-12	-0.0	17
18	Valladolid	18	5	2	11	-15	-2.9	17
19	Cadiz	18	3	7	8	-17	-1.6	16
20	Elche	17	0	5	12	-24	–	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	6	2	0	+17	–	20
2	Osasuna	9	6	0	3	+4	–	18
3	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	–	17
4	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	–	17
5	Betis	8	5	2	1	+7	–	17
6	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+2	–	17
7	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+7	–	16
8	Almeria	9	5	1	3	+3	–	16
9	Girona	9	4	3	2	+2	–	15
10	Ath Madrid	9	4	2	3	+5	+2.9	14
11	Vallecano	9	4	2	3	+2	-0.8	14
12	Mallorca	9	4	2	3	+1	+0.0	14
13	Valencia	9	4	1	4	+7	–	13
14	Valladolid	9	4	1	4	-1	–	13
15	Celta	9	2	4	3	-1	–	10
16	Getafe	9	2	3	4	-3	–	9
17	Espanol	9	2	3	4	-4	+1.4	9
18	Sevilla	9	2	3	4	-5	+1.6	9
19	Cadiz	9	1	5	3	-8	–	8
20	Elche	8	0	2	6	-10	–	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	0	1	+12	–	21
2	Real Madrid	9	7	0	2	+11	–	21
3	Sociedad	9	7	0	2	+8	+0.8	21
4	Ath Madrid	9	5	2	2	+6	–	17
5	Vallecano	9	3	3	3	+0	–	12
6	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	+0	–	12
7	Espanol	9	2	5	2	+0	–	11
8	Mallorca	9	3	2	4	-2	–	11
9	Betis	9	3	2	4	-2	-1.4	11
10	Ath Bilbao	8	2	3	3	+0	–	9
11	Sevilla	9	2	3	4	-3	–	9
12	Osasuna	8	2	3	3	-3	–	9
13	Getafe	8	2	2	4	-5	–	8
14	Cadiz	9	2	2	5	-9	-1.6	8
15	Celta	9	2	1	6	-11	-0.0	7
16	Valencia	7	1	3	3	-2	–	6
17	Girona	8	1	3	4	-3	–	6
18	Valladolid	9	1	1	7	-14	-2.9	4
19	Elche	9	0	3	6	-14	–	3
20	Almeria	8	0	2	6	-11	–	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.