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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Mota

Maritimo

U T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Estoril

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,8

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 23%

13%

33%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

50%

27%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

0,6

1,1

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

11 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 5

21 Free kicks against 14

8 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 17. · Estoril 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	17	14	2	1	+31	44
2	Sp Braga	17	13	1	3	+26	40
3	Porto	17	12	3	2	+30	39
4	Sp Lisbon	17	10	2	5	+14	32
5	Casa Pia	16	8	3	5	+2	27
6	Arouca	17	7	5	5	-3	26
7	Guimaraes	17	7	3	7	-4	24
8	Vizela	17	6	3	8	+2	21
9	Chaves	16	5	6	5	-5	21
10	Rio Ave	16	5	5	6	-3	20
11	Portimonense	17	6	2	9	-8	20
12	Boavista	15	6	2	7	-9	20
13	Estoril	15	5	4	6	-4	19
14	Famalicao	16	5	2	9	-7	17
15	Gil Vicente	16	4	3	9	-9	15
16	Santa Clara	17	3	5	9	-10	14
17	Maritimo	16	2	4	10	-21	10
18	Pacos Ferreira	17	1	3	13	-22	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	9	8	1	0	+21	25
2	Porto	8	7	0	1	+23	21
3	Sp Lisbon	8	7	0	1	+16	21
4	Guimaraes	9	5	2	2	+3	17
5	Sp Braga	8	5	1	2	+10	16
6	Arouca	9	5	1	3	+3	16
7	Boavista	8	4	2	2	-2	14
8	Rio Ave	8	4	1	3	+2	13
9	Famalicao	7	4	0	3	+2	12
10	Casa Pia	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Portimonense	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Gil Vicente	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Vizela	8	3	1	4	+3	10
14	Santa Clara	9	2	3	4	-6	9
15	Chaves	8	1	5	2	-1	8
16	Estoril	7	2	2	3	-4	8
17	Maritimo	7	1	2	4	-3	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	9	0	2	7	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	9	8	0	1	+16	24
2	Benfica	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Porto	9	5	3	1	+7	18
4	Casa Pia	8	5	1	2	+1	16
5	Chaves	8	4	1	3	-4	13
6	Estoril	8	3	2	3	+0	11
7	Vizela	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	Sp Lisbon	9	3	2	4	-2	11
9	Arouca	8	2	4	2	-6	10
10	Portimonense	8	3	0	5	-6	9
11	Rio Ave	8	1	4	3	-5	7
12	Guimaraes	8	2	1	5	-7	7
13	Boavista	7	2	0	5	-7	6
14	Santa Clara	8	1	2	5	-4	5
15	Famalicao	9	1	2	6	-9	5
16	Maritimo	9	1	2	6	-18	5
17	Gil Vicente	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	1	6	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.