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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Twente
T S S S U
2–0
Full-time
FC Emmen
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 12/14 matches
Win Ø 41%
67%
14%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 41%
25%
57%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
0,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
20 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 5. · FC Emmen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 14 10 3 1 +22 33
2 Ajax 14 9 3 2 +27 30
3 PSV Eindhoven 14 10 0 4 +22 30
4 AZ Alkmaar 14 9 2 3 +9 29
5 Twente 12 8 2 2 +16 26
6 Sparta Rotterdam 12 7 2 3 +11 23
7 Utrecht 13 6 3 4 +0 21
8 Heerenveen 13 5 5 3 +2 20
9 Nijmegen 14 3 8 3 +3 17
10 Waalwijk 14 4 5 5 -3 17
11 Go Ahead Eagles 14 3 6 5 -3 15
12 For Sittard 14 4 3 7 -7 15
13 Vitesse 14 3 4 7 -13 13
14 Excelsior 14 4 1 9 -21 13
15 Groningen 14 3 3 8 -12 12
16 FC Emmen 14 2 5 7 -14 11
17 Cambuur 14 2 2 10 -13 8
18 Volendam 14 1 3 10 -26 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente FC Emmen
1–0 R. van Wolfswinkel
5′
Mees Hilgers 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 J. Assehnoun
↦ O. Romeny
J. Brenet 🔁
↦ S. Steijn
62′
M. Vlap 🔁
↦ A. Sampsted
62′
2–0 M. Sadílek
V. Misidjan
67′
Julio Pleguezuelo 🔁
↦ M. Hilgers
72′
73′
🔁 L. Bernadou
↦ J. Vlak
73′
🔁 A. El Messaoudi
↦ M. Diemers
M. Kjølø 🔁
↦ R. Zerrouki
78′
D. Rots 🔁
↦ V. Černý
79′
80′
🔁 J. Dirksen
↦ L. Burnet
80′
🔁 M. Heylen
↦ J. Veldmate
87′
🟨 Jasin Assehnoun
91′
🟨 Michael Heylen
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
12 A. Sampsted D
2 M. Hilgers D
3 R. Pröpper D
5 G. Smal D
8 R. Zerrouki M
23 M. Sadílek M
7 V. Černý M
14 S. Steijn M
10 V. Misidjan M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (11)
20 J. Brenet
18 M. Vlap
4 Julio Pleguezuelo
21 M. Kjølø
11 D. Rots
17 A. Salah-Eddine
27 M. Ugalde
16 I. El Maach
22 P. Tytoń
26 D. Cleonise
38 M. Bruns

Coach: R. Jans

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
32 M. van der Hart G
34 M. Bouchouari D
5 M. Araujo D
4 J. Veldmate D
18 L. Burnet D
2 K. Veendorp M
20 J. Vlak M
7 Rui Mendes M
10 M. Diemers M
77 O. Romeny M
9 R. Živković F
Bench (10)
11 J. Assehnoun
8 L. Bernadou
23 A. El Messaoudi
24 J. Dirksen
13 M. Heylen
12 F. Quaedvlieg
16 K. van Dorp
29 A. Luzayadio
27 A. Toufiqui
1 E. Oelschlägel

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,42
U
4,52
B
7,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.