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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Heracles
T S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 32/30 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
56%
57%
Both score Ø 46%
44%
47%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 8. · Feyenoord 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 32 26 4 2 +75 82
2 PSV Eindhoven 32 20 8 4 +37 68
3 AZ Alkmaar 32 20 7 5 +29 67
4 Vitesse 32 18 6 8 +16 60
5 Feyenoord 30 15 8 7 +25 53
6 Utrecht 30 13 10 7 +11 49
7 Groningen 31 14 6 11 +4 48
8 Heracles 32 12 7 13 -6 43
9 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 +0 42
10 For Sittard 32 12 4 16 -7 40
11 Heerenveen 32 9 12 11 -3 39
12 Twente 32 9 11 12 -2 38
13 Zwolle 32 8 11 13 -8 35
14 Waalwijk 32 6 9 17 -20 27
15 Willem II 32 6 7 19 -32 25
16 FC Emmen 32 5 9 18 -34 24
17 VVV Venlo 32 6 5 21 -42 23
18 Den Haag 32 4 10 18 -43 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Feyenoord
Giacomo Quagliata 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–0
S. Bakış 🔁
↦ R. Vloet
50′
64′
O. Kökçü 0–1
L. Sinisterra
1–1 S. Bakış
68′
E. Sierra-Cappelleti 🔁
↦ D. Burgzorg
74′
T. Breukers 🔁
↦ K. Jakobsen
74′
77′
🔁 R. Boženík
↦ N. Jørgensen
77′
🔁 M. Diemers
↦ L. Sinisterra
Robin Pröpper 🟨
83′
85′
🟨 Mark Diemers
85′
🔁 João Carlos Teixeira
↦ O. Kökçü
O. Kiomourtzoglou 🔁
↦ L. de la Torre
92′
A. Kutucu 🔁
↦ I. Azzaoui
92′
92′
🔁 A. El Bouchataoui
↦ J. Toornstra
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
4 R. Pröpper D
13 M. Knoester D
23 N. Fadiga D
3 G. Quagliata D
10 R. Vloet M
15 L. Schoofs M
14 L. de la Torre M
20 K. Jakobsen F
18 I. Azzaoui F
37 D. Burgzorg F
Bench (12)
9 S. Bakış
28 E. Sierra-Cappelleti
2 T. Breukers
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou
25 A. Kutucu
16 M. Brouwer
17 A. Szőke
22 M. Leš
5 M. Rente
34 J. Hardeveld
27 M. İbrahimoğlu
26 K. Bucker

Coach: F. Wormuth

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 J. Bijlow G
33 Eric Botteghin D
5 R. Haps D
4 M. Senesi D
22 L. Geertruida D
8 L. Fer M
28 J. Toornstra M
23 O. Kökçü M
9 N. Jørgensen F
10 S. Berghuis F
17 L. Sinisterra F
Bench (7)
19 R. Boženík
6 M. Diemers
20 João Carlos Teixeira
43 A. El Bouchataoui
25 U. Spajić
21 N. Marsman
30 R. ten Hove

Coach: D. Advocaat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,54
U ✓
3,71
B
1,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,27
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.