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Primeira Liga

Referee: Fábio Melo

Moreirense

S U T U S

1–1

Full-time

Rio Ave

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 30%

32%

27%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

36%

32%

Both score Ø 37%

41%

32%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

9 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 8. · Rio Ave 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	23	19	4	0	+34	61
2	Sp Braga	22	16	1	5	+21	49
3	Porto	22	14	6	2	+25	48
4	Benfica	23	14	6	3	+23	48
5	Pacos Ferreira	22	12	5	5	+9	41
6	Guimaraes	22	10	5	7	+2	35
7	Santa Clara	23	9	4	10	+1	31
8	Moreirense	22	7	8	7	-4	29
9	Rio Ave	22	6	7	9	-7	25
10	Belenenses	23	5	10	8	-7	25
11	Tondela	23	7	3	13	-16	24
12	Portimonense	23	6	5	12	-7	23
13	Nacional	23	5	6	12	-10	21
14	Boavista	23	4	9	10	-12	21
15	Maritimo	23	6	3	14	-12	21
16	Farense	23	4	7	12	-10	19
17	Gil Vicente	22	5	4	13	-13	19
18	Famalicao	22	4	7	11	-17	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	11	9	2	0	+16	29
2	Benfica	12	9	2	1	+14	29
3	Sp Braga	11	9	1	1	+13	28
4	Pacos Ferreira	11	8	2	1	+9	26
5	Porto	11	7	3	1	+12	24
6	Tondela	12	7	2	3	+3	23
7	Portimonense	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Guimaraes	11	5	1	5	-3	16
9	Rio Ave	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Moreirense	11	3	6	2	-1	15
11	Santa Clara	11	4	2	5	+1	14
12	Belenenses	12	3	5	4	-3	14
13	Farense	12	3	4	5	+0	13
14	Nacional	12	3	3	6	-4	12
15	Gil Vicente	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	Boavista	11	3	2	6	-6	11
17	Maritimo	11	2	2	7	-9	8
18	Famalicao	11	1	5	5	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	12	10	2	0	+18	32
2	Porto	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Sp Braga	11	7	0	4	+8	21
4	Benfica	11	5	4	2	+9	19
5	Guimaraes	11	5	4	2	+5	19
6	Santa Clara	12	5	2	5	+0	17
7	Pacos Ferreira	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Moreirense	11	4	2	5	-3	14
9	Maritimo	12	4	1	7	-3	13
10	Belenenses	11	2	5	4	-4	11
11	Famalicao	11	3	2	6	-7	11
12	Boavista	12	1	7	4	-6	10
13	Rio Ave	11	2	4	5	-8	10
14	Nacional	11	2	3	6	-6	9
15	Gil Vicente	11	2	2	7	-9	8
16	Farense	11	1	3	7	-10	6
17	Portimonense	12	1	2	9	-13	5
18	Tondela	11	0	1	10	-19	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.