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Serie A
Referee: P Valeri
Torino
U U U S T
1–2
Full-time
Inter
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,0
This season — Serie A · 24/26 matches
Win Ø 43%
13%
73%
Points per game
0,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
58%
69%
Both score Ø 67%
71%
62%
Average goals
3,3
3,4
Scored
1,5
2,4
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%
6 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 18. · Inter 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 26 19 5 2 +38 62
2 Milan 26 17 5 4 +20 56
3 Juventus 25 15 7 3 +30 52
4 Atalanta 27 15 7 5 +29 52
5 Roma 26 15 5 6 +13 50
6 Napoli 25 15 2 8 +26 47
7 Lazio 26 14 4 8 +5 46
8 Sassuolo 26 10 9 7 +2 39
9 Verona 27 10 8 9 +4 38
10 Udinese 27 8 9 10 -5 33
11 Sampdoria 27 9 5 13 -5 32
12 Bologna 27 8 7 12 -6 31
13 Fiorentina 27 7 8 12 -9 29
14 Genoa 27 6 10 11 -11 28
15 Spezia 27 6 8 13 -16 26
16 Benevento 27 6 8 13 -25 26
17 Cagliari 26 5 7 14 -14 22
18 Torino 24 3 11 10 -10 20
19 Parma 26 2 10 14 -29 16
20 Crotone 27 4 3 20 -37 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Inter
Half-time 0–0
K. Linetty 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
49′
53′
🟨 Roberto Gagliardini
56′
🔁 A. Young
↦ I. Perišić
56′
🔁 C. Eriksen
↦ R. Gagliardini
62′
R. Lukaku 0–1
C. Ansaldi 🔁
↦ N. Murru
67′
S. Zaza 🔁
↦ S. Verdi
67′
1–1 A. Sanabria
70′
81′
🔁 A. Sánchez
↦ M. Brozović
85′
L. Martínez 1–2
A. Sánchez
A. Belotti 🔁
↦ A. Sanabria
89′
A. Gojak 🔁
↦ M. Vojvoda
89′
89′
🔁 M. Darmian
↦ A. Hakimi
89′
🔁 M. Vecino
↦ L. Martínez
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Torino

3-5-2
39 S. Sirigu G
29 N. Murru M
5 A. Izzo D
27 M. Vojvoda M
4 Lyanco D
3 Bremer D
8 D. Baselli M
7 S. Lukić M
38 R. Mandragora M
24 S. Verdi F
19 A. Sanabria F
Bench (11)
77 K. Linetty
15 C. Ansaldi
11 S. Zaza
9 A. Belotti
10 A. Gojak
32 V. Savić
26 F. Bonazzoli
13 R. Rodríguez
45 E. Ferigra
18 S. Ujkani
99 A. Buongiorno

Coach: D. Nicola

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
2 A. Hakimi M
95 A. Bastoni D
14 I. Perišić M
77 M. Brozović M
5 R. Gagliardini M
23 N. Barella M
9 R. Lukaku F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (11)
15 A. Young
24 C. Eriksen
7 A. Sánchez
36 M. Darmian
8 M. Vecino
27 D. Padelli
97 I. Radu
99 A. Pinamonti
12 S. Sensi
13 A. Ranocchia
11 A. Kolarov

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,18
U
4,84
B ✓
1,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Valeri · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.