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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gözübüyük

Utrecht

U S U T S

1–0

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 33%

27%

38%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

47%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

73%

44%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

11 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 5

5 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 12. · Sparta Rotterdam 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	18	14	2	2	+46	44
2	Vitesse	18	13	2	3	+19	41
3	PSV Eindhoven	18	12	4	2	+24	40
4	AZ Alkmaar	17	9	7	1	+16	34
5	Feyenoord	15	10	3	2	+19	33
6	Groningen	17	9	3	5	+3	30
7	Twente	17	8	4	5	+9	28
8	Heerenveen	18	5	7	6	-2	22
9	Heracles	18	6	3	9	-8	21
10	Sparta Rotterdam	16	6	2	8	-2	20
11	Zwolle	18	4	8	6	-7	20
12	Utrecht	15	4	7	4	-2	19
13	For Sittard	18	5	4	9	-10	19
14	VVV Venlo	17	4	4	9	-18	16
15	Waalwijk	18	3	5	10	-16	14
16	Den Haag	18	2	5	11	-25	11
17	Willem II	18	2	4	12	-18	10
18	FC Emmen	18	0	6	12	-28	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	0	1	+15	24
3	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+20	22
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Groningen	9	4	3	2	+2	15
6	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+8	14
7	Heracles	9	4	1	4	+5	13
8	Utrecht	8	3	4	1	+2	13
9	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Twente	9	3	2	4	+0	11
11	Zwolle	9	2	4	3	-2	10
12	VVV Venlo	9	2	3	4	-16	9
13	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	2	5	-2	8
14	For Sittard	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Waalwijk	9	1	4	4	-6	7
16	Willem II	9	2	1	6	-8	7
17	Den Haag	9	0	3	6	-12	3
18	FC Emmen	9	0	3	6	-15	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+26	22
2	Feyenoord	9	6	1	2	+11	19
3	Twente	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	5	0	+8	17
5	PSV Eindhoven	9	4	4	1	+9	16
6	Vitesse	9	5	1	3	+6	16
7	Groningen	8	5	0	3	+1	15
8	Sparta Rotterdam	7	4	0	3	+0	12
9	Heerenveen	10	2	5	3	-3	11
10	For Sittard	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	Zwolle	9	2	4	3	-5	10
12	Den Haag	9	2	2	5	-13	8
13	Heracles	9	2	2	5	-13	8
14	VVV Venlo	8	2	1	5	-2	7
15	Waalwijk	9	2	1	6	-10	7
16	Utrecht	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Willem II	9	0	3	6	-10	3
18	FC Emmen	9	0	3	6	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.