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Eredivisie
Referee: Marc Nagtegaal
Vitesse
T U S S S
1–1
Full-time
FC Emmen
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 43%
53%
32%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
74%
53%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 7. · FC Emmen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 19 15 2 2 +43 47
2 AZ Alkmaar 20 14 2 4 +27 44
3 Feyenoord 20 10 7 3 +8 37
4 Willem II 19 11 3 5 +7 36
5 PSV Eindhoven 19 10 5 4 +19 35
6 Utrecht 20 10 3 7 +12 33
7 Vitesse 19 10 3 6 +10 33
8 Heerenveen 20 7 7 6 +4 28
9 Heracles 20 7 5 8 +3 26
10 Groningen 19 7 5 7 +3 26
11 Sparta Rotterdam 20 6 6 8 -4 24
12 FC Emmen 19 6 3 10 -13 21
13 Twente 19 5 5 9 -11 20
14 For Sittard 20 5 5 10 -21 20
15 VVV Venlo 20 6 1 13 -26 19
16 Zwolle 19 5 2 12 -17 17
17 Den Haag 20 4 4 12 -20 16
18 Waalwijk 20 3 2 15 -24 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse FC Emmen
1–0 B. Linssen
N. Foor
19′
Matúš Bero 🟨
35′
36′
🔁 J. Arias
↦ N. Laursen
Oussama Tannane 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Sergio Peña
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 H. Ben Moussa
↦ T. Hiariej
56′
🟨 Lorenzo Burnet
58′
M. de Leeuw 1–1
74′
🔁 R. de Vos
↦ M. Kolar
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
2 J. Lelieveld D
3 A. Obispo D
30 D. Doekhi D
5 M. Clark D
25 N. Foor M
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
14 O. Tannane F
Bench (9)
39 B. Leeflang
7 J. Grot
20 N. Dicko
1 K. Lamprou
36 P. Vroegh
40 B. Bayazit
37 Y. Oukili
29 T. Buitink
32 Ö. Aktas

Coach: E. Sturing

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
26 D. Telgenkamp G
28 L. Burnet D
5 M. Araujo D
2 M. Heylen D
23 G. Bijl D
15 T. Hiariej M
8 M. de Leeuw F
20 M. Chacón M
17 S. Peña M
9 M. Kolar M
11 N. Laursen M
Bench (10)
25 J. Arias
36 H. Ben Moussa
32 R. de Vos
93 S. van der Lei
18 R. Roosken
14 F. Görgülü
12 F. Quispel
21 F. Ugrinic
16 B. Haak
3 K. Veendorp

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,41
U ✓
4,72
B
7,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marc Nagtegaal · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.