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Eredivisie

Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf

Waalwijk

T T T T T

2–0

Full-time

Heracles

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

3,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 23%

45%

Points per game

0,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

91%

45%

Both score Ø 60%

64%

55%

Average goals

3,9

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

3,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-2,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

21 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 18. · Heracles 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	10	2	0	+30	32
2	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	2	2	+17	23
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	2	2	+13	23
4	Vitesse	11	7	2	2	+7	23
5	Utrecht	11	6	2	3	+8	20
6	Willem II	11	6	1	4	-1	19
7	Heracles	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Heerenveen	11	4	5	2	+5	17
9	Twente	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Sparta Rotterdam	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Groningen	11	4	2	5	+0	14
12	Feyenoord	11	3	5	3	-3	14
13	FC Emmen	11	3	1	7	-10	10
14	Zwolle	12	3	1	8	-12	10
15	Den Haag	11	3	0	8	-8	9
16	For Sittard	11	2	3	6	-9	9
17	VVV Venlo	11	3	0	8	-17	9
18	Waalwijk	11	0	1	10	-23	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	5	0	0	+19	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Vitesse	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Utrecht	5	4	0	1	+8	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+8	10
6	FC Emmen	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Willem II	6	3	1	2	+0	10
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	3	0	2	+4	9
10	Groningen	5	3	0	2	+4	9
11	Feyenoord	6	2	3	1	+2	9
12	Twente	6	2	2	2	+3	8
13	For Sittard	6	2	2	2	+3	8
14	Heerenveen	6	1	5	0	+1	8
15	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	VVV Venlo	5	2	0	3	-7	6
17	Den Haag	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Waalwijk	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Vitesse	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Heerenveen	5	3	0	2	+4	9
6	Willem II	5	3	0	2	-1	9
7	Utrecht	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Heracles	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Twente	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Den Haag	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	3	2	-5	6
12	Groningen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Feyenoord	5	1	2	2	-5	5
14	VVV Venlo	6	1	0	5	-10	3
15	Zwolle	6	1	0	5	-10	3
16	For Sittard	5	0	1	4	-12	1
17	Waalwijk	6	0	1	5	-14	1
18	FC Emmen	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.