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Ekstraklasa
Cracovia
T S U T S
1–0
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
54%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 73%
69%
77%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Cracovia 5. · Lechia Gdansk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 13 8 1 4 +0 25
2 Piast Gliwice 13 7 3 3 +6 24
3 Pogon Szczecin 13 7 3 3 +4 24
4 Legia 13 7 2 4 +9 23
5 Cracovia 13 7 2 4 +7 23
6 Lechia Gdansk 13 5 6 2 +4 21
7 Slask Wroclaw 13 5 6 2 +4 21
8 Jagiellonia 13 5 5 3 +5 20
9 Lech Poznan 13 5 3 5 +6 18
10 Zaglebie 14 5 3 6 +2 18
11 Gornik Zabrze 13 3 6 4 -1 15
12 Rakow 13 5 0 8 -5 15
13 LKS Lodz 13 3 2 8 -8 11
14 Wisla 13 3 2 8 -10 11
15 Korona Kielce 14 3 2 9 -12 11
16 Arka Gdynia 13 2 4 7 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.