Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cracovia
Lechia Gdansk
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wisla Plock
|
13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +0 | 25 |
| 2 |
Piast Gliwice
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 3 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 24 |
| 4 |
Legia
|
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |
Cracovia
|
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 |
Jagiellonia
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 9 |
Lech Poznan
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 18 |
| 10 |
Zaglebie
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +2 | 18 |
| 11 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |
Rakow
|
13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 |
LKS Lodz
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 11 |
| 14 |
Wisla
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 |
Korona Kielce
|
14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 |
Arka Gdynia
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cracovia
Pogon Szczecin
Jagiellonia
Cracovia
Cracovia
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla
Cracovia
Cracovia
Legia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.