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Bundesliga

Referee: D Aytekin

Union Berlin

T T T S T

1–0

Full-time

Hertha

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

22%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

56%

89%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 15. · Hertha 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	10	7	1	2	+11	22
2	Dortmund	10	5	4	1	+12	19
3	RB Leipzig	10	5	3	2	+15	18
4	Bayern Munich	10	5	3	2	+9	18
5	Freiburg	10	5	3	2	+7	18
6	Ein Frankfurt	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Wolfsburg	10	4	5	1	+3	17
8	Hoffenheim	10	5	2	3	+1	17
9	Schalke 04	9	4	3	2	+5	15
10	Leverkusen	10	4	3	3	+0	15
11	Hertha	9	3	2	4	-1	11
12	Werder Bremen	10	2	5	3	-4	11
13	Mainz	10	3	0	7	-17	9
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	2	1	6	-6	7
15	Union Berlin	9	2	1	6	-6	7
16	FC Koln	9	2	1	6	-10	7
17	Augsburg	9	1	4	4	-11	7
18	Paderborn	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	6	4	2	0	+9	14
2	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	+12	13
3	Bayern Munich	5	3	1	1	+9	10
4	M'gladbach	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Leverkusen	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Wolfsburg	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	Hoffenheim	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	RB Leipzig	5	2	2	1	+7	8
9	Freiburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Schalke 04	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Mainz	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Hertha	4	2	0	2	-1	6
13	Union Berlin	5	2	0	3	-2	6
14	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	-2	5
15	Werder Bremen	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	FC Koln	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Paderborn	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	RB Leipzig	5	3	1	1	+8	10
3	Freiburg	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Hoffenheim	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Wolfsburg	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Bayern Munich	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Schalke 04	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Werder Bremen	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Dortmund	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Leverkusen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Hertha	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	FC Koln	5	1	1	3	-6	4
13	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	Mainz	6	1	0	5	-17	3
16	Augsburg	5	0	2	3	-9	2
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Paderborn	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.