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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Reims
S S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Brest
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 30%
38%
21%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
41%
55%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
62%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,57 xG 1,38
61% Possession 39%
22 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 8. · Brest 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 30 22 3 5 +41 +4.3 69
2 Lens 30 18 9 3 +28 +6.0 63
3 Marseille 29 18 6 5 +25 +2.0 60
4 Monaco 29 17 6 6 +21 +3.9 57
5 Lille 30 15 7 8 +16 +8.8 52
6 Rennes 30 15 5 10 +15 -1.3 50
7 Lyon 30 13 8 9 +14 +1.2 47
8 Reims 29 11 13 5 +11 +10.3 46
9 Nice 30 11 12 7 +10 +3.7 45
10 Lorient 29 12 8 9 +2 -3.3 44
11 Montpellier 29 11 4 14 -3 +0.8 37
12 Clermont 29 10 7 12 -12 -4.1 37
13 Toulouse 29 10 5 14 -7 +1.1 35
14 Nantes 29 6 12 11 -10 -2.8 30
15 Brest 29 6 9 14 -14 -7.5 27
16 Strasbourg 30 5 11 14 -14 -0.3 26
17 Auxerre 29 6 8 15 -27 -0.1 26
18 Troyes 29 4 9 16 -24 -11.4 21
19 Ajaccio 29 6 3 20 -31 -2.4 21
20 Angers 30 3 5 22 -41 -8.6 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reims Brest
6′
P. Lees-Melou 0–1
J. Le Douaron
Half-time 0–1
M. Maolida 🔁
↦ J. Cajuste
65′
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ A. Flips
65′
71′
🔁 R. Del Castillo
↦ S. Mounié
71′
🔁 N. Fadiga
↦ M. Camara
M. Busi 🔁
↦ T. Foket
76′
K. Sierhuis 🔁
↦ M. Munetsi
76′
A. Zeneli 🔁
↦ T. De Smet
81′
83′
🔁 H. Magnetti
↦ J. Le Douaron
Arbër Zeneli ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
89′
90′
🟨 Kenny Lala
91′
🔁 J. Duverne
↦ B. Locko
1–1 F. Balogun
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Reims

4-2-3-1
94 Y. Diouf G
32 T. Foket D
24 E. Agbadou D
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
25 T. De Smet D
21 A. Matusiwa M
8 J. Cajuste M
39 J. Ito M
15 M. Munetsi M
70 A. Flips M
29 F. Balogun F
Bench (9)
11 M. Maolida
19 M. van Bergen
4 M. Busi
9 K. Sierhuis
10 A. Zeneli
96 A. Olliero
43 C. Keita
3 K. Doumbia
49 V. Atangana Edoa

Coach: W. Still

Brest

4-1-4-1
40 M. Bizot G
27 K. Lala D
5 B. Chardonnet D
3 L. Brassier D
28 B. Locko D
20 P. Lees-Melou M
9 F. Honorat M
7 H. Belkebla M
45 M. Camara M
22 J. Le Douaron M
15 S. Mounié F
Bench (9)
10 R. Del Castillo
99 N. Fadiga
8 H. Magnetti
2 J. Duverne
1 J. Blázquez
4 A. Dari
17 A. Elis
37 F. Lemaréchal
29 Mathias Pereira Lage

Coach: E. Roy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,62
U ✓
4,05
B
5,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.