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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Manganiello

Milan

T T S T S

2–0

Full-time

Venezia

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Venezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,21 xG 0,80

58% Possession 42%

16 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 6. · Venezia 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.2	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
7	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
9	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
10	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
11	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
12	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
13	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
14	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
15	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
16	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
18	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
19	Monza	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.2	0
20	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.2	3
3	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
4	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
5	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
6	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
7	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
8	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
9	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
10	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
2	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
3	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
4	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
6	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
7	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
8	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
9	Monza	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.2	0
10	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.