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Champions League
Referee: D Siebert
Juventus
U T T S S
2–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,2
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
25%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
38%
75%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,1
2,0
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,27 xG 0,81
47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Sep -24 Juventus – PSV Eindhoven 3–1

Match report

Juventus PSV Eindhoven
1–0 W. McKennie ⚽
F. Gatti
34′
Half-time 1–0
S. Mbangula 🔁
↦ K. Yıldız
46′
56′
⚽ I. Perišić 1–1
Francisco Conceição 🔁
↦ N. González
58′
T. Koopmeiners 🔁
↦ W. McKennie
68′
K. Thuram 🔁
↦ M. Locatelli
68′
72′
🔁 G. Til
↦ I. Saibari
72′
🔁 J. Bakayoko
↦ N. Lang
73′
🟨 Luuk de Jong
D. Vlahović 🔁
↦ R. Kolo Muani
77′
2–1 S. Mbangula ⚽
82′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Juventus

4-2-3-1
29 M. Di Gregorio G
22 T. Weah D
4 F. Gatti D
12 Renato Veiga D
6 L. Kelly D
26 Douglas Luiz M
5 M. Locatelli M
11 N. González M
16 W. McKennie M
10 K. Yıldız M
20 R. Kolo Muani F
Bench (9)
51 S. Mbangula
7 Francisco Conceição
8 T. Koopmeiners
19 K. Thuram
9 D. Vlahović
40 J. Rouhi
1 M. Perin
23 C. Pinsoglio
37 N. Savona

Coach: T. Motta

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
1 W. Benítez G
37 R. Ledezma D
6 R. Flamingo D
4 A. Obispo D
17 Mauro Júnior D
22 J. Schouten M
23 J. Veerman M
5 I. Perišić M
34 I. Saibari M
10 N. Lang M
9 L. de Jong F
Bench (12)
20 G. Til
11 J. Bakayoko
3 T. Malacia
26 I. Babadi
36 W. Kuhn
24 N. Schiks
28 T. Land
21 C. Driouech
19 E. Bajraktarević
16 J. Drommel
39 A. Nagalo
38 J. Uneken

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.