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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
PSV Eindhoven
U S U T U
3–1
Full-time
Juventus
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 61%
78%
44%
Average goals
3,4
2,1
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,40 xG 1,76
59% Possession 41%
25 Shots 15
10 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Juventus
12′
🔁 A. Cambiaso
↦ Renato Veiga
Half-time 0–0
Jerdy Schouten 🟨
53′
1–0 I. Perišić
N. Lang
53′
63′
T. Weah 1–1
65′
ℹ️ Timothy Weah
VAR: Goal confirmed
G. Til 🔁
↦ J. Schouten
72′
2–1 I. Saibari
L. de Jong
74′
77′
🔁 N. Savona
↦ T. Koopmeiners
77′
🔁 K. Yıldız
↦ Francisco Conceição
77′
🔁 K. Thuram
↦ M. Locatelli
T. Malacia 🔁
↦ R. Ledezma
78′
84′
🟨 Federico Gatti
J. Bakayoko 🔁
↦ I. Perišić
85′
90′
🔁 S. Mbangula
↦ A. Cambiaso
90′
🔁 D. Vlahović
↦ R. Kolo Muani
94′
🟨 Nicolò Savona
3–1 R. Flamingo
98′
100′
🟨 Kenan Yıldız
A. Obispo 🔁
↦ O. Boscagli
105′
C. Driouech 🔁
↦ N. Lang
115′
A. Nagalo 🔁
↦ J. Veerman
116′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
1 W. Benítez G
37 R. Ledezma D
6 R. Flamingo D
18 O. Boscagli D
17 Mauro Júnior D
22 J. Schouten M
23 J. Veerman M
5 I. Perišić M
34 I. Saibari M
10 N. Lang M
9 L. de Jong F
Bench (12)
20 G. Til
3 T. Malacia
11 J. Bakayoko
4 A. Obispo
21 C. Driouech
39 A. Nagalo
38 J. Uneken
24 N. Schiks
26 I. Babadi
28 T. Land
16 J. Drommel
2 R. Karsdorp

Coach: P. Bosz

Juventus

4-2-3-1
29 M. Di Gregorio G
22 T. Weah D
4 F. Gatti D
12 Renato Veiga D
6 L. Kelly D
8 T. Koopmeiners M
5 M. Locatelli M
7 Francisco Conceição M
16 W. McKennie M
11 N. González M
20 R. Kolo Muani F
Bench (9)
27 A. Cambiaso
37 N. Savona
10 K. Yıldız
19 K. Thuram
51 S. Mbangula
9 D. Vlahović
23 C. Pinsoglio
1 M. Perin
40 J. Rouhi

Coach: T. Motta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.