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Serie A

Referee: D Doveri

Napoli

S S S T S

5–1

Full-time

Juventus

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Juventus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,2

This season — Serie A · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 74%

82%

65%

Points per game

2,6

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

59%

29%

Both score Ø 36%

53%

18%

Average goals

3,1

1,9

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

0,8

0,4

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%

14 Shots 11

10 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 1. · Juventus 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	17	14	2	1	+26	44
2	Juventus	17	11	4	2	+19	37
3	Milan	17	11	4	2	+15	37
4	Inter	17	11	1	5	+13	34
5	Lazio	17	9	4	4	+14	31
6	Atalanta	17	9	4	4	+8	31
7	Roma	17	9	4	4	+5	31
8	Udinese	17	6	7	4	+6	25
9	Fiorentina	17	6	5	6	-1	23
10	Torino	17	6	5	6	-1	23
11	Lecce	17	4	7	6	-2	19
12	Bologna	17	5	4	8	-7	19
13	Empoli	17	4	7	6	-7	19
14	Salernitana	17	4	6	7	-6	18
15	Monza	17	5	3	9	-6	18
16	Sassuolo	17	4	4	9	-9	16
17	Spezia	17	3	6	8	-12	15
18	Verona	17	2	3	12	-15	9
19	Sampdoria	17	2	3	12	-22	9
20	Cremonese	17	0	7	10	-18	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Napoli	8	7	1	0	+15	22
3	Milan	9	7	1	1	+11	22
4	Inter	8	7	0	1	+16	21
5	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+7	17
6	Bologna	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Fiorentina	9	4	3	2	+0	15
8	Udinese	8	3	4	1	+6	13
9	Monza	9	4	1	4	+3	13
10	Roma	8	4	1	3	+3	13
11	Salernitana	9	3	3	3	+3	12
12	Torino	8	3	3	2	+2	12
13	Spezia	9	2	6	1	+1	12
14	Sassuolo	8	3	2	3	+3	11
15	Atalanta	8	3	2	3	+0	11
16	Empoli	8	3	2	3	-1	11
17	Lecce	8	2	4	2	+0	10
18	Verona	9	2	0	7	-7	6
19	Cremonese	8	0	3	5	-10	3
20	Sampdoria	9	0	2	7	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Atalanta	9	6	2	1	+8	20
3	Roma	9	5	3	1	+2	18
4	Milan	8	4	3	1	+4	15
5	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+7	14
6	Juventus	8	4	2	2	+1	14
7	Inter	9	4	1	4	-3	13
8	Udinese	9	3	3	3	+0	12
9	Torino	9	3	2	4	-3	11
10	Lecce	9	2	3	4	-2	9
11	Fiorentina	8	2	2	4	-1	8
12	Empoli	9	1	5	3	-6	8
13	Sampdoria	8	2	1	5	-9	7
14	Salernitana	8	1	3	4	-9	6
15	Monza	8	1	2	5	-9	5
16	Sassuolo	9	1	2	6	-12	5
17	Cremonese	9	0	4	5	-8	4
18	Bologna	8	1	1	6	-12	4
19	Verona	8	0	3	5	-8	3
20	Spezia	8	1	0	7	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.