Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Liverpool
Sheffield United
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | +48 | +37.9 | 68 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | +40 | +31.1 | 67 |
| 3 |
Man City
|
30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | +38 | +32.9 | 67 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | +17 | +7.0 | 59 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +18 | +4.3 | 57 |
| 6 |
Man United
|
29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | +0 | -7.3 | 48 |
| 7 |
West Ham
|
31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | -5 | -12.3 | 45 |
| 8 |
Newcastle
|
30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | +12 | +5.8 | 44 |
| 9 |
Brighton
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +5 | +5.2 | 43 |
| 10 |
Wolves
|
30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | -4 | -10.2 | 42 |
| 11 |
Bournemouth
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -9 | -1.0 | 41 |
| 12 |
Chelsea
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | +2 | +12.3 | 40 |
| 13 |
Fulham
|
31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | -3 | -11.7 | 39 |
| 14 |
Everton
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -11 | +1.3 | 32 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -16 | -7.5 | 30 |
| 16 |
Nott'm Forest
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -14 | -5.9 | 29 |
| 17 |
Brentford
|
31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -13 | +2.9 | 28 |
| 18 |
Luton
|
31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -21 | -28.1 | 22 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | -34 | -25.4 | 19 |
| 20 |
Sheffield United
|
29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | -50 | -31.4 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
C. Kelleher
G
I. Konaté
D
V. van Dijk
D
J. Gomez
D
D. Szoboszlai
M
A. Mac Allister
M
R. Gravenberch
M
Mohamed Salah
F
L. Díaz
F
Coach: J. Klopp
A. Ahmedhodžić
D
J. Bogle
M
Vinicius Souza
M
O. Arblaster
M
G. Hamer
M
A. Trusty
M
J. McAtee
F
B. Brereton
F
Coach: C. Wilder
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Liverpool
Brighton
Man United
Liverpool
Liverpool
Sparta Praha
Liverpool
Man City
Sparta Praha
Liverpool
S Attwell · 153 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.