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Premier League
Referee: S Attwell
Liverpool
S U S T S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
4,3
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 40%
69%
10%
Points per game
2,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
66%
69%
Both score Ø 62%
69%
55%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
2,3
0,9
Conceded
0,9
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,83 xG 0,59
83% Possession 17%
29 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
13 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Liverpool 2. · Sheffield United 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 30 21 5 4 +48 +37.9 68
2 Liverpool 29 20 7 2 +40 +31.1 67
3 Man City 30 20 7 3 +38 +32.9 67
4 Aston Villa 31 18 5 8 +17 +7.0 59
5 Tottenham 30 17 6 7 +18 +4.3 57
6 Man United 29 15 3 11 +0 -7.3 48
7 West Ham 31 12 9 10 -5 -12.3 45
8 Newcastle 30 13 5 12 +12 +5.8 44
9 Brighton 30 11 10 9 +5 +5.2 43
10 Wolves 30 12 6 12 -4 -10.2 42
11 Bournemouth 30 11 8 11 -9 -1.0 41
12 Chelsea 28 11 7 10 +2 +12.3 40
13 Fulham 31 11 6 14 -3 -11.7 39
14 Everton 30 8 8 14 -11 +1.3 32
15 Crystal Palace 30 7 9 14 -16 -7.5 30
16 Nott'm Forest 31 7 8 16 -14 -5.9 29
17 Brentford 31 7 7 17 -13 +2.9 28
18 Luton 31 5 7 19 -21 -28.1 22
19 Burnley 31 4 7 20 -34 -25.4 19
20 Sheffield United 29 3 6 20 -50 -31.4 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Liverpool Sheffield United
1–0 D. Núñez
17′
Half-time 2–0
58′
C. Bradley 2–0
own goal
A. Robertson 🔁
↦ R. Gravenberch
60′
H. Elliott 🔁
↦ Mohamed Salah
60′
62′
🔁 B. Osborn
↦ G. Hamer
63′
🔁 O. McBurnie
↦ J. McAtee
63′
🔁 W. Osula
↦ B. Brereton
C. Gakpo 🔁
↦ J. Gomez
72′
C. Jones 🔁
↦ D. Szoboszlai
73′
3–0 A. Mac Allister
L. Díaz
76′
78′
🔁 A. Brooks
↦ A. Trusty
87′
🟨 Oliver McBurnie
87′
🔁 A. Ben Slimane
↦ M. Holgate
4–0 C. Gakpo
A. Robertson
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-3
62 C. Kelleher G
84 C. Bradley D
5 I. Konaté D
4 V. van Dijk D
2 J. Gomez D
8 D. Szoboszlai M
10 A. Mac Allister M
38 R. Gravenberch M
11 Mohamed Salah F
9 D. Núñez F
7 L. Díaz F
Bench (9)
26 A. Robertson
19 H. Elliott
18 C. Gakpo
17 C. Jones
76 J. Danns
42 B. Clark
13 Adrián
21 K. Tsimikas
78 J. Quansah

Coach: J. Klopp

Sheffield United

3-5-2
13 I. Grbić G
30 M. Holgate D
15 A. Ahmedhodžić D
19 J. Robinson D
20 J. Bogle M
21 Vinicius Souza M
24 O. Arblaster M
8 G. Hamer M
5 A. Trusty M
28 J. McAtee F
11 B. Brereton F
Bench (9)
23 B. Osborn
9 O. McBurnie
32 W. Osula
35 A. Brooks
25 A. Ben Slimane
27 Y. Larouci
16 O. Norwood
18 W. Foderingham
29 S. Curtis

Coach: C. Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,08
U
12,59
B
25,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,20
U2,5
4,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Attwell · 153 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.