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Premier League

Referee: P Tierney

Liverpool

U S S S U

1–1

Full-time

Crystal Palace

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Crystal Palace

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

73% Possession 27%

24 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

10 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 13. · Crystal Palace 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Fulham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Wolves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Everton	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Man United	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Man United	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.