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Serie A
Referee: S Sozza
Lazio
S S U T S
0–0
Full-time
Atalanta
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 51%
45%
57%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
82%
71%
Both score Ø 70%
68%
71%
Average goals
3,9
3,3
Scored
2,1
2,1
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
9 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 8. · Atalanta 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 22 16 5 1 +36 53
2 Milan 22 15 3 4 +22 48
3 Napoli 22 14 4 4 +24 46
4 Atalanta 21 12 6 3 +18 42
5 Juventus 22 12 5 5 +13 41
6 Fiorentina 21 11 2 8 +11 35
7 Roma 22 11 2 9 +8 35
8 Lazio 22 10 5 7 +7 35
9 Verona 23 9 6 8 +5 33
10 Torino 21 9 4 8 +9 31
11 Empoli 22 8 5 9 -8 29
12 Sassuolo 22 7 7 8 +1 28
13 Bologna 22 8 3 11 -8 27
14 Spezia 22 6 4 12 -19 22
15 Udinese 21 4 9 8 -8 21
16 Sampdoria 22 5 5 12 -11 20
17 Venezia 22 4 6 12 -20 18
18 Cagliari 22 3 7 12 -22 16
19 Genoa 23 1 10 12 -25 13
20 Salernitana 20 3 2 15 -33 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Atalanta
33′
🟨 Giuseppe Pezzella
39′
🟨 Davide Zappacosta
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 J. Mæhle
↦ G. Scalvini
M. Lazzari 🔁
↦ E. Hysaj
69′
71′
🔁 R. Tolói
↦ A. Miranchuk
T. Bašić 🔁
↦ Luis Alberto
79′
84′
🟨 Rafael Tolói
85′
🔁 T. De Nipoti
↦ R. Piccoli
85′
🔁 A. Sidibe
↦ M. Pessina
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lazio

4-3-3
1 T. Strakosha G
23 E. Hysaj D
4 Patric D
77 A. Marušić D
3 Luiz Felipe D
6 Lucas Leiva M
10 Luis Alberto M
20 M. Zaccagni F
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
17 C. Immobile F
7 Felipe Anderson F
Bench (12)
29 M. Lazzari
88 T. Bašić
94 V. Muriqi
18 L. Romero
27 Raul Moro
19 D. Vavro
44 R. Floriani
31 M. Adamonis
50 M. Bertini
28 A. Anderson
25 Pepe Reina
22 Jony

Coach: M. Sarri

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
1 J. Musso G
6 J. Palomino D
19 B. Djimsiti D
77 D. Zappacosta M
28 M. Demiral D
13 G. Pezzella M
42 G. Scalvini M
11 R. Freuler M
32 M. Pessina F
59 A. Miranchuk F
99 R. Piccoli F
Bench (9)
3 J. Mæhle
2 R. Tolói
50 T. De Nipoti
51 A. Sidibe
48 S. Panada
57 M. Sportiello
31 F. Rossi
44 A. Oliveri
49 S. Giovane

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,15
U ✓
3,72
B
2,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.