Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lazio
Atalanta
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | +36 | 53 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | +22 | 48 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | +24 | 46 |
| 4 |
Atalanta
|
21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | +18 | 42 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | +13 | 41 |
| 6 |
Fiorentina
|
21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | +11 | 35 |
| 7 |
Roma
|
22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | +8 | 35 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +7 | 35 |
| 9 |
Verona
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 33 |
| 10 |
Torino
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +9 | 31 |
| 11 |
Empoli
|
22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 |
Sassuolo
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 28 |
| 13 |
Bologna
|
22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 |
Spezia
|
22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -19 | 22 |
| 15 |
Udinese
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |
Sampdoria
|
22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 |
Venezia
|
22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -20 | 18 |
| 18 |
Cagliari
|
22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 16 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
23 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -25 | 13 |
| 20 |
Salernitana
|
20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | -33 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
T. Strakosha
G
A. Marušić
D
M. Zaccagni
F
Coach: M. Sarri
J. Musso
G
D. Zappacosta
M
G. Pezzella
M
G. Scalvini
M
R. Freuler
M
R. Piccoli
F
Coach: G. Gasperini
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Salernitana
Lazio
Inter
Lazio
Lazio
Empoli
Venezia
Lazio
Lazio
Genoa
S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.