Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lens
Marseille
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | +24 | 50 |
| 2 |
Nice
|
21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | +16 | 40 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | +12 | 37 |
| 4 |
Strasbourg
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | +16 | 35 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | +21 | 34 |
| 6 |
Monaco
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 33 |
| 7 |
Lens
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +7 | 33 |
| 8 |
Lyon
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +2 | 32 |
| 9 |
Lille
|
22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | +0 | 32 |
| 10 |
Montpellier
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +6 | 31 |
| 11 |
Nantes
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +1 | 29 |
| 12 |
Brest
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 |
Angers
|
20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | -1 | 26 |
| 14 |
Reims
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -1 | 24 |
| 15 |
Troyes
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -10 | 20 |
| 16 |
Metz
|
21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -17 | 19 |
| 17 |
Clermont
|
21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 |
Lorient
|
21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -18 | 17 |
| 19 |
Bordeaux
|
21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -20 | 17 |
| 20 |
St Etienne
|
21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | -25 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Clauss
M
J. Gradit
D
K. Danso
D
F. Medina
D
S. Fofana
M
P. Frankowski
M
C. Doucouré
M
F. Sotoca
F
Coach: F. Haise
Pau López
G
D. Ćaleta-Car
D
B. Kamara
M
V. Rongier
D
C. Ünder
M
M. Guendouzi
M
Luis Henrique
M
Coach: J. Sampaoli
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
St Etienne
Lens
Lens
Rennes
Nice
Lens
Nantes
Lens
Lens
Paris SG
S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.