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Serie A
Referee: P Valeri
Genoa
U T T T T
0–0
Full-time
Atalanta
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,2
Scored
0,3
2,7
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 34%
6%
61%
Points per game
0,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
67%
78%
Both score Ø 70%
61%
78%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
2,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
1 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 8
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 18. · Atalanta 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 18 13 4 1 +33 43
2 Napoli 18 12 3 3 +22 39
3 Milan 18 12 3 3 +16 39
4 Atalanta 18 11 4 3 +14 37
5 Roma 18 10 1 7 +10 31
6 Fiorentina 18 10 1 7 +9 31
7 Juventus 18 9 4 5 +8 31
8 Lazio 18 8 4 6 +3 28
9 Empoli 18 8 3 7 -2 27
10 Torino 18 7 4 7 +5 25
11 Sassuolo 18 6 6 6 +2 24
12 Bologna 18 7 3 8 -7 24
13 Verona 18 6 5 7 +2 23
14 Udinese 18 4 8 6 -2 20
15 Sampdoria 18 5 4 9 -8 19
16 Venezia 18 4 5 9 -14 17
17 Spezia 18 3 4 11 -21 13
18 Genoa 18 1 7 10 -18 10
19 Cagliari 18 1 7 10 -21 10
20 Salernitana 18 2 2 14 -31 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Atalanta
Stefano Sturaro 🟨
19′
23′
🟨 Remo Freuler
Milan Badelj 🟨
41′
45′
🔁 L. Muriel
↦ D. Zapata
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. de Roon
↦ R. Freuler
65′
🔁 M. Pašalić
↦ A. Miranchuk
65′
🔁 J. Iličić
↦ R. Malinovskyi
P. Ghiglione 🔁
↦ D. Criscito
68′
G. Pandev 🔁
↦ M. Destro
72′
84′
🔁 R. Piccoli
↦ T. Koopmeiners
Hernani 🔁
↦ S. Sturaro
88′
F. Melegoni 🔁
↦ M. Portanova
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Genoa

3-5-2
57 S. Sirigu G
4 D. Criscito M
14 D. Biraschi D
13 M. Bani D
15 J. Vásquez D
50 A. Cambiaso M
47 M. Badelj M
27 S. Sturaro M
90 M. Portanova M
23 M. Destro F
20 C. Ekuban F
Bench (12)
18 P. Ghiglione
19 G. Pandev
33 Hernani
10 F. Melegoni
24 F. Bianchi
1 A. Šemper
99 P. Galdames
35 L. Andrenacci
66 L. Serpe
94 A. Touré
2 S. Sabelli
5 A. Masiello

Coach: A. Shevchenko

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
57 M. Sportiello G
6 J. Palomino D
19 B. Djimsiti D
77 D. Zappacosta M
33 H. Hateboer M
28 M. Demiral D
11 R. Freuler M
18 R. Malinovskyi F
7 T. Koopmeiners M
91 D. Zapata F
59 A. Miranchuk F
Bench (11)
9 L. Muriel
15 M. de Roon
88 M. Pašalić
72 J. Iličić
99 R. Piccoli
31 F. Rossi
42 G. Scalvini
32 M. Pessina
13 G. Pezzella
1 J. Musso
66 M. Lovato

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,66
U ✓
5,03
B
1,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Valeri · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.