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Serie A

Referee: D Orsato

Atalanta

U S S S S

3–2

Full-time

Lazio

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

5,2

2,8

Scored

4,0

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,8

+1,5

This season — Serie A · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 66%

58%

73%

Points per game

2,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 77%

85%

69%

Both score Ø 68%

73%

62%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

2,8

2,3

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%

13 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 0

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 4. · Lazio 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	27	21	3	3	+28	66
2	Lazio	26	19	5	2	+37	62
3	Inter	27	17	7	3	+26	58
4	Atalanta	26	15	6	5	+39	51
5	Roma	26	13	6	7	+16	45
6	Napoli	27	12	6	9	+7	42
7	Parma	27	11	6	10	+4	39
8	Milan	27	11	6	10	-3	39
9	Verona	27	10	8	9	+2	38
10	Cagliari	27	9	8	10	+1	35
11	Bologna	27	9	7	11	-6	34
12	Sassuolo	27	9	6	12	-1	33
13	Fiorentina	27	7	10	10	-4	31
14	Torino	27	9	4	14	-16	31
15	Udinese	27	7	7	13	-17	28
16	Sampdoria	26	7	5	14	-17	26
17	Genoa	27	6	7	14	-19	25
18	Lecce	27	6	7	14	-25	25
19	Spal	27	5	3	19	-25	18
20	Brescia	27	4	5	18	-27	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	13	12	1	0	+21	37
2	Lazio	14	11	3	0	+29	36
3	Inter	14	8	5	1	+14	29
4	Verona	14	7	3	4	+4	24
5	Atalanta	13	7	2	4	+17	23
6	Roma	13	6	3	4	+7	21
7	Sassuolo	13	6	1	6	+6	19
8	Parma	13	6	1	6	+5	19
9	Udinese	13	5	4	4	-2	19
10	Torino	14	5	3	6	-10	18
11	Cagliari	13	5	2	6	+2	17
12	Napoli	13	5	2	6	-1	17
13	Milan	13	4	5	4	-2	17
14	Bologna	14	4	5	5	-4	17
15	Sampdoria	14	4	4	6	-6	16
16	Fiorentina	14	3	6	5	-4	15
17	Genoa	13	4	1	8	-7	13
18	Lecce	14	2	5	7	-10	11
19	Spal	13	2	2	9	-10	8
20	Brescia	13	1	3	9	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	13	9	2	2	+12	29
2	Juventus	14	9	2	3	+7	29
3	Atalanta	13	8	4	1	+22	28
4	Lazio	12	8	2	2	+8	26
5	Napoli	14	7	4	3	+8	25
6	Roma	13	7	3	3	+9	24
7	Milan	14	7	1	6	-1	22
8	Parma	14	5	5	4	-1	20
9	Cagliari	14	4	6	4	-1	18
10	Bologna	13	5	2	6	-2	17
11	Fiorentina	13	4	4	5	+0	16
12	Verona	13	3	5	5	-2	14
13	Sassuolo	14	3	5	6	-7	14
14	Lecce	13	4	2	7	-15	14
15	Torino	13	4	1	8	-6	13
16	Genoa	14	2	6	6	-12	12
17	Brescia	14	3	2	9	-15	11
18	Sampdoria	12	3	1	8	-11	10
19	Spal	14	3	1	10	-15	10
20	Udinese	14	2	3	9	-15	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.