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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T T T T U

0–5

Full-time

Schalke 04

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 32%

16%

47%

Points per game

0,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

53%

58%

Both score Ø 61%

58%

63%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

0,9

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

7 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 10

0 Corners 8

8 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 17. · Schalke 04 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	20	12	3	5	+23	39
2	St Pauli	20	11	4	5	+13	37
3	Werder Bremen	20	10	5	5	+11	35
4	Hamburg	20	8	10	2	+14	34
5	Heidenheim	20	10	4	6	+0	34
6	Nurnberg	20	9	6	5	+6	33
7	Schalke 04	19	9	4	6	+11	31
8	Regensburg	19	9	4	6	+10	31
9	Paderborn	20	8	6	6	+10	30
10	Karlsruhe	19	6	8	5	+3	26
11	Dresden	19	7	2	10	-5	23
12	Hannover	19	6	5	8	-12	23
13	Holstein Kiel	19	5	7	7	-7	22
14	Hansa Rostock	20	5	6	9	-11	21
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	20	5	5	10	-6	20
16	Sandhausen	19	4	5	10	-19	17
17	Erzgebirge Aue	19	3	6	10	-15	15
18	Ingolstadt	20	2	4	14	-26	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	9	8	1	0	+19	25
2	Hamburg	11	5	6	0	+11	21
3	Heidenheim	10	6	3	1	+6	21
4	Darmstadt	9	6	1	2	+15	19
5	Schalke 04	10	5	2	3	+9	17
6	Regensburg	10	5	2	3	+7	17
7	Nurnberg	10	5	2	3	+6	17
8	Dresden	9	5	1	3	+6	16
9	Karlsruhe	10	4	4	2	+5	16
10	Werder Bremen	9	4	3	2	+8	15
11	Holstein Kiel	10	4	2	4	-3	14
12	Hannover	9	3	2	4	-5	11
13	Paderborn	11	2	3	6	-3	9
14	Hansa Rostock	10	2	3	5	-6	9
15	Erzgebirge Aue	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	1	4	5	-3	7
17	Ingolstadt	10	1	3	6	-8	6
18	Sandhausen	9	0	3	6	-15	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	9	6	3	0	+13	21
2	Darmstadt	11	6	2	3	+8	20
3	Werder Bremen	11	6	2	3	+3	20
4	Nurnberg	10	4	4	2	+0	16
5	Regensburg	9	4	2	3	+3	14
6	Schalke 04	9	4	2	3	+2	14
7	Sandhausen	10	4	2	4	-4	14
8	Hamburg	9	3	4	2	+3	13
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	Heidenheim	10	4	1	5	-6	13
11	Hansa Rostock	10	3	3	4	-5	12
12	St Pauli	11	3	3	5	-6	12
13	Hannover	10	3	3	4	-7	12
14	Karlsruhe	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Holstein Kiel	9	1	5	3	-4	8
16	Erzgebirge Aue	9	1	4	4	-8	7
17	Dresden	10	2	1	7	-11	7
18	Ingolstadt	10	1	1	8	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.