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Championship
Referee: J Smith
Swansea
S T T T U
1–0
Full-time
Preston
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Championship · 24/26 matches
Win Ø 34%
33%
35%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
62%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 9
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 18. · Preston 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 27 17 6 4 +48 57
2 Blackburn 28 15 7 6 +18 52
3 Bournemouth 27 14 8 5 +20 50
4 West Brom 28 13 9 6 +15 48
5 Middlesbrough 27 13 6 8 +8 45
6 QPR 26 13 5 8 +7 44
7 Coventry 26 12 7 7 +11 43
8 Stoke 26 12 5 9 +7 41
9 Huddersfield 26 11 8 7 +5 41
10 Nott'm Forest 26 11 6 9 +6 39
11 Luton 24 10 7 7 +10 37
12 Preston 26 9 9 8 -2 36
13 Blackpool 27 10 6 11 -3 36
14 Bristol City 28 10 6 12 -11 36
15 Sheffield United 24 10 5 9 +3 35
16 Derby 28 8 11 9 -1 35
17 Millwall 26 8 9 9 -2 33
18 Swansea 24 8 7 9 -2 31
19 Reading 27 9 4 14 -15 31
20 Birmingham 27 7 7 13 -16 28
21 Hull 27 7 5 15 -10 26
22 Cardiff 27 6 6 15 -19 24
23 Peterborough 24 5 4 15 -27 19
24 Peterboro 25 5 4 16 -30 19
25 Barnsley 25 2 9 14 -20 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Preston
Ryan Manning 🟨
12′
36′
🔁 M. Olosunde
↦ T. Barkhuizen
Half-time 0–0
H. Wolf 🔁
↦ O. Ntcham
46′
1–0 R. Manning
51′
63′
🔁 S. Sinclair
↦ J. Rafferty
64′
🟨 Greg Cunningham
K. Joseph 🔁
↦ J. Piroe
74′
J. Fulton 🔁
↦ C. Christie
84′
84′
🔁 R. Ledson
↦ B. Whiteman
Joel Latibeaudiere 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Ched Evans
Korey Smith 🟨
88′
91′
🟨 Patrick Bauer
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Swansea

3-4-2-1
18 B. Hamer G
26 K. Naughton D
23 C. Christie M
3 R. Manning D
5 B. Cabango D
22 J. Latibeaudiere M
7 K. Smith F
10 O. Ntcham F
8 M. Grimes M
4 F. Downes M
17 J. Piroe F
Bench (7)
13 H. Wolf
14 K. Joseph
6 J. Fulton
2 R. Bennett
28 L. Walsh
9 M. Obafemi
33 A. Fisher

Coach: R. Martin

Preston

3-4-1-2
12 D. Iversen G
3 G. Cunningham D
5 P. Bauer D
15 J. Rafferty M
2 S. van den Berg D
29 T. Barkhuizen M
11 D. Johnson F
8 A. Browne M
4 B. Whiteman M
9 C. Evans F
19 E. Riis F
Bench (7)
22 M. Olosunde
31 S. Sinclair
18 R. Ledson
25 C. Ripley
13 A. McCann
6 L. Lindsay
24 S. Maguire

Coach: R. Lowe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,27
B
3,44
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Smith · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.