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Serie A
Referee: F Fourneau
Cagliari
U S U U T
2–2
Full-time
Spezia
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Roma 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Udinese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Juventus 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Verona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Salernitana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Torino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Venezia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Genoa 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Mar -21 Spezia – Cagliari 2–1 29. Nov -20 Cagliari – Spezia 2–2

Match report

Cagliari Spezia
7′
⚽ E. Gyasi 0–1
D. Verde
14′
🟨 Simone Bastoni
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Dimitris Nikolaou
58′
⚽ S. Bastoni 0–2
K. Amian
1–2 João Pedro ⚽
R. Marin
62′
G. Zappa 🔁
↦ S. Walukiewicz
63′
G. Pereiro 🔁
↦ A. Deiola
63′
66′
🟨 Emmanuel Gyasi
2–2 João Pedro ⚽
66′
69′
🔁 S. Mráz
↦ D. Verde
L. Ceppitelli 🔁
↦ D. Godín
74′
Gabriele Zappa 🟨
79′
Kevin Strootman 🟨
81′
G. Simeone 🔁
↦ L. Pavoletti
84′
C. Lykogiannis 🔁
↦ A. Carboni
85′
85′
🔁 L. Vignali
↦ Salvador Ferrer
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cagliari

3-4-3
28 A. Cragno G
2 D. Godín D
29 Dalbert Henrique M
40 S. Walukiewicz D
44 A. Carboni D
16 K. Strootman M
8 R. Marin M
14 A. Deiola F
18 N. Nández M
30 L. Pavoletti F
10 João Pedro F
Bench (12)
25 G. Zappa
20 G. Pereiro
23 L. Ceppitelli
9 G. Simeone
22 C. Lykogiannis
32 D. Ceter
31 B. Radunović
27 A. Grassi
1 S. Aresti
15 G. Altare
26 N. Cavuoti
21 C. Oliva

Coach: L. Semplici

Spezia

3-4-3
1 J. Zoet G
43 D. Nikolaou D
20 S. Bastoni M
27 K. Amian M
28 M. Erlić D
15 P. Hristov D
21 Salvador Ferrer M
25 G. Maggiore M
19 E. Colley F
11 E. Gyasi F
10 D. Verde F
Bench (5)
9 S. Mráz
12 L. Vignali
40 P. Zovko
77 N. Bertola
94 I. Provedel

Coach: T. Motta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
🔒
U ✓
3,61
🔒
B
3,78
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,85
🔒
U2,5
1,97
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Fourneau · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.