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Serie A
Referee: A Di Martino
Udinese
T U S S S
0–0
Full-time
Crotone
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Crotone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Serie A · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 25%
40%
9%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
55%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
55%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,4
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 1
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 10. · Crotone 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 11 8 3 0 +14 27
2 Napoli 10 8 0 2 +18 24
3 Inter 11 7 3 1 +14 24
4 Sassuolo 11 6 4 1 +9 22
5 Roma 11 6 3 2 +8 21
6 Juventus 10 5 5 0 +11 20
7 Verona 11 5 4 2 +6 19
8 Atalanta 10 5 2 3 +5 17
9 Lazio 11 5 2 4 -2 17
10 Udinese 10 4 1 5 -1 13
11 Cagliari 11 3 3 5 -5 12
12 Bologna 11 4 0 7 -6 12
13 Sampdoria 11 3 2 6 -3 11
14 Parma 11 2 5 4 -7 11
15 Benevento 11 3 2 6 -10 11
16 Spezia 11 2 4 5 -8 10
17 Fiorentina 11 2 3 6 -8 9
18 Torino 11 1 3 7 -8 6
19 Genoa 11 1 3 7 -12 6
20 Crotone 11 1 2 8 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Crotone
Samir 🟨
8′
28′
🟨 Junior Messias
39′
🟨 Jacopo Petriccione
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 Eduardo Henrique
↦ E. Rivière
Deulofeu 🔁
↦ I. Nestorovski
65′
77′
🟨 Eduardo Henrique
J. Stryger Larsen 🔁
↦ N. Molina
79′
82′
🔁 N. Zanellato
↦ J. Petriccione
82′
🔁 D. Drăguş
↦ Junior Messias
87′
🟨 Denis Drăguş
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 J. Musso G
90 M. Zeegelaar M
3 Samir D
14 K. Bonifazi D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
16 N. Molina M
37 R. Pereyra M
22 T. Arslan M
10 R. De Paul M
23 I. Pussetto F
30 I. Nestorovski F
Bench (12)
9 Deulofeu
19 J. Stryger Larsen
64 M. Palumbo
11 Walace
6 J. Makengo
99 M. Coulibaly
96 S. Scuffet
66 M. Carnelos
65 A. Rigo
18 H. ter Avest
38 R. Mandragora
15 K. Lasagna

Coach: L. Gotti

Crotone

3-5-2
1 A. Cordaz G
34 L. Marrone D
5 V. Golemić D
32 Pedro Pereira M
3 G. Cuomo D
17 S. Molina M
69 A. Reca M
44 J. Petriccione M
97 E. Rivière F
25 S. Nwankwo F
30 Junior Messias M
Bench (12)
95 Eduardo Henrique
21 N. Zanellato
11 D. Drăguş
26 K. Djidji
28 L. Siligardi
77 M. Vulić
46 A. Ranieri
13 S. Luperto
16 M. Festa
22 G. Crespi
20 L. Rojas
14 G. Crociata

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,62
U ✓
3,88
B
5,82
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.