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Serie A

Referee: G Rocchi

Lecce

T T T U T

4–0

Full-time

Torino

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Torino

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

2,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 26%

14%

38%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

62%

Both score Ø 55%

62%

48%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 11

11 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

4 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 23

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecce 17. · Torino 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	22	17	3	2	+22	54
2	Lazio	21	15	4	2	+32	49
3	Inter	21	14	6	1	+24	48
4	Atalanta	22	11	6	5	+29	39
5	Roma	22	11	6	5	+13	39
6	Cagliari	22	8	8	6	+4	32
7	Parma	22	9	5	8	+2	32
8	Milan	22	9	5	8	-4	32
9	Verona	21	8	6	7	+3	30
10	Bologna	22	8	6	8	+0	30
11	Napoli	21	7	6	8	+1	27
12	Torino	21	8	3	10	-9	27
13	Sassuolo	22	7	5	10	-1	26
14	Fiorentina	22	6	7	9	-7	25
15	Udinese	21	7	3	11	-14	24
16	Sampdoria	21	5	5	11	-13	20
17	Lecce	21	3	7	11	-19	16
18	Genoa	22	3	7	12	-20	16
19	Brescia	22	4	3	15	-21	15
20	Spal	22	4	3	15	-22	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	10	1	0	+17	31
2	Lazio	11	9	2	0	+26	29
3	Inter	11	6	4	1	+11	22
4	Parma	11	6	1	4	+7	19
5	Roma	11	5	3	3	+4	18
6	Verona	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Atalanta	11	5	2	4	+13	17
8	Cagliari	11	5	2	4	+4	17
9	Udinese	10	5	2	3	+0	17
10	Sassuolo	11	5	1	5	+4	16
11	Bologna	11	4	4	3	+1	16
12	Napoli	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Milan	11	3	5	3	-2	14
14	Torino	11	4	2	5	-9	14
15	Sampdoria	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Fiorentina	11	3	4	4	-3	13
17	Genoa	10	3	1	6	-4	10
18	Spal	10	2	2	6	-7	8
19	Lecce	10	0	5	5	-7	5
20	Brescia	11	1	2	8	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	Juventus	11	7	2	2	+5	23
3	Atalanta	11	6	4	1	+16	22
4	Roma	11	6	3	2	+9	21
5	Lazio	10	6	2	2	+6	20
6	Milan	11	6	0	5	-2	18
7	Cagliari	11	3	6	2	+0	15
8	Bologna	11	4	2	5	-1	14
9	Napoli	10	3	4	3	+2	13
10	Torino	10	4	1	5	+0	13
11	Parma	11	3	4	4	-5	13
12	Verona	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Fiorentina	11	3	3	5	-4	12
14	Lecce	11	3	2	6	-12	11
15	Sassuolo	11	2	4	5	-5	10
16	Brescia	11	3	1	7	-10	10
17	Sampdoria	10	2	1	7	-12	7
18	Udinese	11	2	1	8	-14	7
19	Spal	12	2	1	9	-15	7
20	Genoa	12	0	6	6	-16	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.