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Serie A
Referee: F La Penna
Inter
U U S T S
4–0
Full-time
Lecce

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
5 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
3 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Torino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Brescia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Roma 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Genoa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Verona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Bologna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Spal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Parma 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Milan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Lecce
1–0 Marcelo Brozović ⚽
Kwadwo Asamoah
21′
2–0 Stefano Sensi ⚽
Matías Vecino
24′
38′
🟨 Jacopo Petriccione
Lautaro Martínez 🟨
40′
Half-time 2–0
52′
🟨 Gianluca Lapadula
3–0 Romelu Lukaku ⚽
60′
61′
🔁 Diego Farias
↦ Andrea La Mantia
61′
🔁 Marco Mancosu
↦ Jacopo Petriccione
Nicolò Barella 🔁
↦ Matías Vecino
66′
72′
🔁 Romario Benzar
↦ Andrea Rispoli
Roberto Gagliardini 🔁
↦ Stefano Sensi
73′
76′
🟥 Diego Farias
Matteo Politano 🔁
↦ Lautaro Martínez
78′
4–0 Antonio Candreva ⚽
Nicolò Barella
84′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 Samir Handanovič G
33 Danilo D'Ambrosio D
13 Andrea Ranocchia D
37 Milan Škriniar D
87 Antonio Candreva M
8 Matías Vecino M
77 Marcelo Brozović M
12 Stefano Sensi M
18 Kwadwo Asamoah M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
9 Romelu Lukaku F
Bench (12)
27 Daniele Padelli
46 Tommaso Berni
6 Stefan de Vrij
95 Alessandro Bastoni
11 Federico Dimarco
29 Dalbert
20 Borja Valero
19 Valentino Lazaro
5 Roberto Gagliardini
23 Nicolò Barella
30 Sebastiano Esposito
16 Matteo Politano

Coach: A. Conte

Lecce

4-2-3-1
21 Gabriel G
29 Andrea Rispoli D
5 Fabio Lucioni D
13 Luca Rossettini D
27 Marco Calderoni D
4 Jacopo Petriccione M
77 Panagiotis Tachtsidis M
10 Filippo Falco M
37 Zan Majer M
19 Andrea La Mantia M
9 Gianluca Lapadula F
Bench (11)
95 Marco Bleve
3 Brayan Vera
2 Davide Riccardi
6 Romario Benzar
39 Cristian Dell'Orco
23 Andrea Tabanelli
8 Marco Mancosu
7 Thom Haye
11 Evgen Shakhov
17 Diego Farias
20 Edgaras Dubickas

Coach: F. Liverani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
🔒
U
6,10
🔒
B
13,23
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,56
🔒
U2,5
2,41
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

F La Penna · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.