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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
Sociedad
T S T U T
1–2
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
14%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
29%
57%
Average goals
1,6
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,90 xG 1,40
44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 7
19 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Feb -24 Paris SG – Sociedad 2–0

Match report

Sociedad Paris SG
15′
K. Mbappé 0–1
O. Dembélé
28′
🟨 Nuno Mendes
Takefusa Kubo 🟨
42′
42′
🟨 Achraf Hakimi
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Lee Kang-In
↦ B. Barcola
49′
🟨 Ousmane Dembélé
Igor Zubeldia 🟨
54′
56′
K. Mbappé 0–2
Lee Kang-In
Beñat Turrientes 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
61′
Barrenetxea 🔁
↦ S. Becker
61′
62′
🔁 N. Mukiele
↦ Nuno Mendes
Jon Pacheco 🔁
↦ Zubeldia
76′
André Silva 🔁
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
77′
77′
🔁 M. Ugarte
↦ Fabián Ruiz
82′
🔁 R. Kolo Muani
↦ O. Dembélé
Jon Ander Olasagasti 🔁
↦ Martín Zubimendi
83′
83′
🔁 Carlos Soler
↦ A. Hakimi
1–2 Mikel Merino
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
18 H. Traoré D
5 Zubeldia D
24 Robin Le Normand D
25 Javi Galán D
23 Brais Méndez M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
14 T. Kubo F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
11 S. Becker F
Bench (12)
22 Beñat Turrientes
7 Barrenetxea
20 Jon Pacheco
21 André Silva
16 Jon Ander Olasagasti
13 Unai Marrero
17 K. Tierney
42 J. Aramburu
28 Jon Magunazelaia
29 Pablo Marín
19 U. Sadiq
15 Urko González

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Paris SG

4-3-1-2
99 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
21 L. Hernández D
35 Beraldo D
25 Nuno Mendes D
33 W. Zaïre-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
10 O. Dembélé M
29 B. Barcola F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (12)
19 Lee Kang-In
26 N. Mukiele
4 M. Ugarte
23 R. Kolo Muani
28 Carlos Soler
41 S. Mayulu
15 Danilo Pereira
5 Marquinhos
43 K. Gadou
1 K. Navas
9 Gonçalo Ramos
80 Arnau Tenas

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.