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La Liga
Referee: Cesar Soto Grado
Sociedad
T U T T S
2–0
Full-time
Cadiz
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 25%
39%
11%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,7
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,96 xG 0,81
64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 6. · Cadiz 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 28 21 6 1 +42 +27.1 69
2 Girona 28 19 5 4 +26 +10.1 62
3 Barcelona 28 18 7 3 +23 +33.0 61
4 Ath Madrid 28 17 4 7 +23 +19.3 55
5 Ath Bilbao 28 15 8 5 +22 +14.9 53
6 Sociedad 28 11 10 7 +9 +4.5 43
7 Betis 28 10 12 6 +3 -4.0 42
8 Valencia 27 11 7 9 +1 -3.1 40
9 Las Palmas 28 10 7 11 -2 -16.1 37
10 Osasuna 28 10 6 12 -8 -6.0 36
11 Villarreal 28 9 8 11 -5 -3.5 35
12 Getafe 28 8 11 9 -6 -6.9 35
13 Alaves 28 8 8 12 -7 +1.6 32
14 Sevilla 28 6 10 12 -7 -10.8 28
15 Mallorca 28 5 12 11 -11 -6.0 27
16 Vallecano 28 5 11 12 -15 -4.4 26
17 Celta 28 5 9 14 -13 -7.7 24
18 Cadiz 28 3 13 12 -18 -14.3 22
19 Granada 27 2 8 17 -27 -15.2 14
20 Almeria 28 0 10 18 -30 -12.5 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Cadiz
1–0 Mikel Merino
Mikel Oyarzabal
28′
34′
🔁 Chris Ramos
↦ Maximiliano Gómez
Javi Galán 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
Kieran Tierney 🔁
↦ Javi Galán
46′
Martín Zubimendi 🟨
47′
Igor Zubeldia ℹ️
VAR: Card reviewed
65′
Arsen Zakharyan 🔁
↦ Takefusa Kubo
66′
2–0 Arsen Zakharyan
Brais Méndez
68′
Robin Le Normand 🟨
70′
70′
🟨 Chris Ramos
André Silva 🔁
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
74′
Beñat Turrientes 🔁
↦ Martín Zubimendi
75′
82′
🔁 Darwin Machís
↦ Robert Navarro
82′
🔁 Lucas Pires
↦ Javier Hernández
Jon Magunazelaia 🔁
↦ Sheraldo Becker
84′
86′
🔁 Sergi Guardiola
↦ Juanmi
86′
🔁 Brian Ocampo
↦ Rubén Sobrino
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Hamari Traoré D
5 Igor Zubeldia D
24 Robin Le Normand D
25 Javi Galán D
23 Brais Méndez M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
14 Takefusa Kubo F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
11 Sheraldo Becker F
Bench (12)
17 Kieran Tierney
12 Arsen Zakharyan
21 André Silva
22 Beñat Turrientes
28 Jon Magunazelaia
13 Unai Marrero
15 Urko González
6 Aritz Elustondo
20 Jon Pacheco
39 Jon Aramburu
16 Jon Ander Olasagasti
19 Umar Sadiq

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 Jeremías Ledesma G
20 Iza Carcelén D
24 Aiham Ousou D
5 Víctor Chust D
15 Javier Hernández D
7 Rubén Sobrino M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
12 Rominigue Kouamé M
27 Robert Navarro M
25 Maximiliano Gómez F
9 Juanmi F
Bench (12)
16 Chris Ramos
33 Lucas Pires
18 Darwin Machís
10 Brian Ocampo
19 Sergi Guardiola
13 David Gil
2 Joseba Zaldúa
3 Fali
14 Mamadou Mbaye
8 Álex Fernández
6 Diadié Samassékou
17 Gonzalo Escalante

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,48
U
4,03
B
8,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,43
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Cesar Soto Grado · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.