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Copa del Rey

Referee: Javier Alberola

Cacereño

2–1

Full-time

Girona

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cacereño Girona

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

3,0

1,7

Conceded

0,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,3

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

34% Possession 66%

10 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 4

3 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cacereño 24. · Girona 37. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Levante	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Pontevedra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Intercity	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Ceuta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
19	UD Logroñés	2	1	1	0	+2	4
20	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Celta	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Numancia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
53	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
54	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
55	Alcorcon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
56	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Burgos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Mérida AD	2	0	1	1	-1	1
72	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
73	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
74	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
75	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
76	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
77	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
20	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
21	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
22	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	UD Logroñés	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
32	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
33	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
34	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
35	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
14	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Celta	1	1	0	0	+5	3
17	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Mérida AD	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Burgos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cacereño Girona

1–0 David Grande ⚽

Samu Manchón

17′

Karim El Kounni 🟨

23′

30′

⚽ V. Castellanos 1–1

43′

🟨 Oriol Romeu

Half-time 1–1

Sergio Bermúdez 🟨

49′

L. Télles 🔁

↦ S. Bermúdez

58′

Iván Fernández 🔁

↦ Karim El Kounni

58′

Álvaro Clausí 🔁

↦ Ruymán Arteaga

58′

🔁 C. Stuani

↦ Yan Couto

2–1 Iván Fernández ⚽

L. Télles

61′

68′

🔁 Valery

↦ Toni Villa

68′

🔁 Samuel Sáiz

↦ Ramón Terrats

Rubén Solano 🔁

↦ David Grande

70′

Luis Aguado 🔁

↦ Pedro Ramírez

76′

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cacereño

4-1-4-1

13 Iván Moreno G

22 S. Gomis D

Albert Caparrós D

17 Pedro Ramírez D

18 O. Traoré D

8 Ruymán Arteaga M

11 David Grande F

19 Miguel Garci M

14 S. Bermúdez M

16 Samu Manchón M

20 Karim El Kounni M

Bench (11)

15 L. Télles

7 Iván Fernández

6 Álvaro Clausí

9 Rubén Solano

2 Luis Aguado

1 Alfonso Liceras

10 Carmelo Merenciano

4 Josín

3 Manolo Molina

30 Miguel Nieto

25 Daniel Santamaria

Coach: Julio Cobos

Girona

4-1-4-1

1 Juan Carlos G

S. Bueno D

Miguel Gutiérrez D

Yan Couto M

Arnau Martínez D

18 Oriol Romeu M

Aleix García M

12 Toni Villa M

Iván Martín M

Ramón Terrats D

V. Castellanos F

Bench (8)

7 C. Stuani

11 Valery

10 Samuel Sáiz

32 Oscar Ureña

25 Manu Vallejo

5 David López

26 Toni Fuidias

13 P. Gazzaniga

Coach: Míchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

12. Nov CDR 3 years ago

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,4 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

25,7 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Cacereño

Girona

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee