← Match Finder
La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Ath Bilbao
U T U T S
1–2
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Ath Bilbao Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 50%
28%
72%
Points per game
1,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
22%
61%
Both score Ø 53%
44%
61%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,9
2,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

40% Possession 60%
15 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 10. · Real Madrid 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 18 13 4 1 +24 43
2 Sevilla 18 11 5 2 +16 38
3 Betis 18 10 3 5 +11 33
4 Vallecano 18 9 3 6 +8 30
5 Ath Madrid 18 8 5 5 +7 29
6 Sociedad 18 8 5 5 +0 29
7 Barcelona 18 7 7 4 +7 28
8 Valencia 18 7 7 4 +4 28
9 Villarreal 18 6 7 5 +6 25
10 Ath Bilbao 18 5 9 4 +2 24
11 Espanol 18 6 5 7 -1 23
12 Granada 18 5 7 6 -3 22
13 Osasuna 18 5 7 6 -5 22
14 Celta 18 5 5 8 -2 20
15 Mallorca 18 4 8 6 -10 20
16 Getafe 18 3 6 9 -8 15
17 Elche 18 3 6 9 -9 15
18 Alaves 18 4 3 11 -14 15
19 Cadiz 18 2 8 8 -16 14
20 Levante 18 0 8 10 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Real Madrid
4′
K. Benzema 0–1
T. Kroos
7′
K. Benzema 0–2
1–2 Oihan Sancet
De Marcos
10′
Unai Vencedor 🟨
42′
42′
🟨 Vinícius Júnior
Half-time 1–2
Nico Williams 🔁
↦ Oier Zarraga
57′
Mikel Balenziaga 🟨
61′
62′
🟨 Eduardo Camavinga
Lekue 🔁
↦ Balenziaga
62′
Raúl García 🔁
↦ Oihan Sancet
62′
Nico Serrano 🔁
↦ Muniain
84′
85′
🔁 M. Díaz
↦ Vinícius Júnior
86′
🔁 Peter
↦ E. Hazard
90′
🔁 L. Jović
↦ K. Benzema
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-4-2
26 Julen Agirrezabala G
24 Balenziaga D
18 De Marcos D
5 Yeray D
3 Unai Núñez D
14 Dani García M
8 Oihan Sancet F
16 Unai Vencedor M
19 Oier Zarraga M
10 Muniain M
9 Williams F
Bench (10)
30 Nico Williams
15 Lekue
22 Raúl García
33 Nico Serrano
21 Capa
35 Ander Iru
2 Alex Petxarroman
31 Aitor Paredes
6 Mikel Vesga
11 Jon Morcillo

Coach: Marcelino

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
6 Nacho D
23 F. Mendy D
3 Éder Militão D
8 T. Kroos M
17 Lucas Vázquez D
15 F. Valverde M
25 E. Camavinga M
9 K. Benzema F
7 E. Hazard F
20 Vinícius Júnior F
Bench (9)
24 M. Díaz
44 Peter
16 L. Jović
40 Toni Fuidias
27 Antonio Blanco
35 Miguel Gutiérrez
45 Diego Piñeiro
41 Rafa Marín
5 Vallejo

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,37
U
3,49
B ✓
2,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.